Reddit · 5 graded picks

u/barneyjetsonUnranked

First post Sep 12, 2026, latest Sep 17, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/barneyjetson (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

+1.38u

5 priced picks

ROI

+27.7%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

4-1-0

Win rate 80.0%

CLV

−5.42%

95% interval −7.40% to −3.79%

Beat fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +1.38u, peak +2.38u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	3	3-0-0	+61.0%	−4.42%	0.0%	Unranked
NCAAF	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−4.55%	0.0%	Unranked
NFL	1	1-0-0	+55.6%	−9.30%	0.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	4	4-0-0	+59.6%	−5.64%	0.0%	Unranked
Spread	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−4.55%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

5 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/barneyjetson: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	NCAAF	MIA −20.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · MIA @ WAKE	−110 to a fair close of +100	Loss	−4.55%	−1.00u
Sep 16, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIL ML −140 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIL @ PIT	−140 to a fair close of −122	Win	−5.93%	+0.71u
Sep 16, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	TB ML −190 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · ATH @ TB	−190 to a fair close of −167	Win	−4.50%	+0.53u
Sep 15, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	NYY ML −170 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYY @ MIN	−170 to a fair close of −158	Win	−2.85%	+0.59u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	BAL ML −180 (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BAL @ IND	−180 to a fair close of −140	Win	−9.30%	+0.56u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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