BreakTheBankSharp
770 graded picks, first post Jan 22, 2026, latest Sep 29, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−0.04u
770 priced picks
ROI
0.0%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
334-436-0
Win rate 43.4%
CLV
+1.78%
95% interval +1.41% to +2.17%
Beat the fair close
72.3%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soccer | 496 | 217-279-0 | +3.1% | +2.02% | 70.8% | Sharp |
| NFL | 81 | 46-35-0 | +21.7% | +1.55% | 80.3% | Sharp |
| MLB | 46 | 17-29-0 | −9.5% | +2.36% | 82.6% | Sharp |
| Basketball | 39 | 14-25-0 | −29.4% | +0.08% | 66.7% | Not yet |
| Premier League | 30 | 10-20-0 | −37.9% | +1.33% | 80.0% | Sharp |
| La Liga | 26 | 4-22-0 | −70.2% | +1.47% | 65.4% | Sharp |
| NBA | 22 | 9-13-0 | −8.1% | +0.54% | 68.2% | Not yet |
| Tennis | 16 | 10-6-0 | −0.7% | +0.81% | 68.8% | Unranked |
| Baseball | 8 | 2-6-0 | −52.8% | +0.41% | 62.5% | Unranked |
| UFC | 5 | 4-1-0 | +263.4% | +5.05% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Boxing | 1 | 1-0-0 | +545.0% | −0.02% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 432 | 203-229-0 | +3.6% | +1.69% | 71.8% | Sharp |
| Total | 180 | 57-123-0 | −0.2% | +2.52% | 73.3% | Sharp |
| Spread | 123 | 58-65-0 | −5.6% | +0.87% | 73.2% | Sharp |
| Other | 35 | 16-19-0 | −23.7% | +2.29% | 71.4% | Sharp |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Sep 29, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerCZE vs ENG | England to win: No at 25¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 25¢ to a fair close of 25.5¢ | Loss | +2.00% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSCO vs CHE | Switzerland to win: No at 48¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 48¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢ | Loss | +1.04% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerESP vs HRV | Croatia ML at 7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 7¢ to a fair close of 7.5¢ | Loss | +7.14% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFIN vs BELA | Belarus ML at 12¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 12¢ to a fair close of 12.5¢ | Loss | +4.17% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | PHI/CHI Over 40.5 at 56¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 56¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢ | Loss | +0.89% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | PHI/CHI Over 42.5 at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 49¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢ | Loss | +3.06% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | CHI ML at 36¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 36¢ to a fair close of 36.5¢ | Win | +1.50% | +1.78u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | PHI/CHI Under 41.5 at 48¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 48¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢ | Win | −3.12% | +1.08u |
| Mon Sep 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerTUR vs ITA | Türkiye/Italy draw: No at 71¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 71¢ to a fair close of 71.5¢ | Win | +0.70% | +0.41u |
| Mon Sep 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSWE vs POL | Sweden ML at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 46¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢ | Win | −1.09% | +1.17u |
| Mon Sep 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerBEL vs FRA | Belgium to win: No at 70¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 70¢ to a fair close of 67.5¢ | Win | −3.57% | +0.43u |
| Mon Sep 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerBEL vs FRA | France ML at 43.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 43.4¢ to a fair close of 41.5¢ | Win | −4.45% | +1.30u |
| Mon Sep 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerTUR vs ITA | Türkiye ML at 34¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 34¢ to a fair close of 32.5¢ | Loss | −4.41% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerROM vs BIH | Bosnia and Herzegovina to win: No at 65¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 65¢ to a fair close of 65.5¢ | Loss | +0.77% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerTUR vs ITA | Italy to win: No at 61¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 61¢ to a fair close of 60.5¢ | Loss | −0.82% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerARM vs MON | Armenia ML at 34¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 34¢ to a fair close of 32.5¢ | Loss | −4.41% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerARM vs MON | Montenegro to win: No at 62.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 62.5¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢ | Loss | +0.03% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerGEO vs UKR | Ukraine to win: No at 70¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 70¢ to a fair close of 73.5¢ | Win | +5.00% | +0.43u |
| Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ DEN | LAR/DEN Under 43.5 at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 47¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢ | Loss | +7.45% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ DEN | LAR/DEN Under 44.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 51¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢ | Loss | +4.90% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ DEN | DEN ML at 49.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 49.2¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢ | Win | +0.62% | +1.03u |
| Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ DEN | DEN +2.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 52¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢ | Win | +6.66% | +0.92u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | BAL −2.5 at 57¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 57¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Win | +0.88% | +0.75u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLV @ NO | LV +3.5 at 48¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 48¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢ | Win | −1.04% | +1.08u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLV @ NO | LV +2.5 at 39¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 39¢ to a fair close of 38.5¢ | Win | −1.28% | +1.56u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | BAL −3.5 at 46.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 46.6¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢ | Loss | −0.30% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLV @ NO | LV ML at 35¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 35¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢ | Win | +1.43% | +1.86u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ TB | MIN ML at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 51¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢ | Win | +0.98% | +0.96u |
| Sun Sep 27, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNOR vs PRT | Norway to win: No at 57¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 57¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Win | +0.88% | +0.75u |
| Sun Sep 27, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerISR vs IRE | Republic of Ireland ML at 35¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 35¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢ | Win | +1.43% | +1.86u |
| Sun Sep 27, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerGER vs GRC | Germany to win: No at 32¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 32¢ to a fair close of 32.5¢ | Win | +1.56% | +2.13u |
| Sun Sep 27, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerGER vs GRC | Greece ML at 12¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 12¢ to a fair close of 12.5¢ | Win | +4.17% | +7.33u |
| Sun Sep 27, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerISR vs IRE | Israel to win: No at 64.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 64.9¢ to a fair close of 65.5¢ | Win | +0.92% | +0.54u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ WSH | SEA/WSH Under 40.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 52¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢ | Loss | +0.96% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ CLE | CAR/CLE Under 41.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 50¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢ | Win | +1.00% | +1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ IND | IND ML at 48¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 48¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢ | Win | +1.04% | +1.08u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ JAX | NE +2.5 at 45¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 45¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢ | Loss | +1.11% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ CLE | CLE ML at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 46¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢ | Win | +1.09% | +1.17u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ IND | IND +3.5 at 61¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 61¢ to a fair close of 61.5¢ | Win | +0.82% | +0.64u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | BUF ML at 75¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 75¢ to a fair close of 74.5¢ | Win | −0.67% | +0.33u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ DET | DET −6.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 51¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢ | Win | +2.94% | +0.96u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ WSH | WSH +8.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 52¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢ | Win | +0.96% | +0.92u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ JAX | NE ML at 40¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 40¢ to a fair close of 40.5¢ | Loss | +1.25% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ WSH | WSH ML at 22¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 22¢ to a fair close of 22.5¢ | Win | +2.27% | +3.55u |
| Sat Sep 26, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerENG vs ESP | Spain to win: No at 55.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 55.8¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢ | Loss | −0.54% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerENG vs ESP | England ML at 24.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 24.7¢ to a fair close of 27.5¢ | Loss | +11.47% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 25, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerTUR vs FRA | France to win: No at 27¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 27¢ to a fair close of 27.5¢ | Loss | +1.85% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 25, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerTUR vs FRA | Türkiye ML at 10¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 10¢ to a fair close of 10.5¢ | Loss | +5.00% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | GB −1.5 at 65¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 65¢ to a fair close of 66.5¢ | Loss | +2.31% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 24, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNOR vs DEN | Norway ML at 60¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 60¢ to a fair close of 60.5¢ | Win | +0.83% | +0.67u |
All 770 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.