@betfirmsjackLosing to the close
58 graded picks, first post Aug 2, 2026, latest Oct 1, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−14.13u
58 priced picks
ROI
−24.3%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
23-35-0
Win rate 39.7%
CLV
−1.77%
95% interval −2.95% to −0.57%
Beat the fair close
34.5%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 49 | 19-30-0 | −26.0% | −1.71% | 34.7% | Losing to the close |
| NCAAF | 6 | 3-3-0 | −4.9% | −1.33% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| NFL | 3 | 1-2-0 | −36.4% | −3.57% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 28 | 12-16-0 | −16.0% | +0.91% | 57.1% | Not yet |
| Total | 23 | 7-16-0 | −44.3% | −5.27% | 4.3% | Losing to the close |
| Spread | 7 | 4-3-0 | +7.8% | −0.94% | 42.9% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3, 11:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCIN @ ARIZ | CIN +7 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −6.26% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 30, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | CHW/HOU Over 7.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of +103 | Win | −5.50% | +0.92u |
| Tue Sep 29, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ NYY | BOS/NYY Under 6.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −118 | Loss | −0.82% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ IND | HOU ML −122 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −6.83% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFAPP @ NCSU | APP +14 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −123 | Win | +5.31% | +0.91u |
| Fri Sep 25, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ CHW | COL/CHW Over 8 (−107) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −107 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −2.35% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 24, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBHOU @ ATH | HOU/ATH Over 11 (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of −103 | Win | −5.56% | +0.86u |
| Wed Sep 23, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ PHI | MIL/PHI Under 7.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −125 | Win | +0.03% | +0.80u |
| Tue Sep 22, 10:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ LAD | SD/LAD Over 8 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −6.50% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 9:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIN @ SF | MIN ML −113 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of −120 | Loss | +2.66% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ BAL | NO +9 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −117 | Win | +2.95% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFSMU @ LOU | LOU ML −115 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −131 | Win | +6.10% | +0.87u |
| Fri Sep 18, 9:39 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIN @ LAA | MIN/LAA Over 8.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +118 | Loss | −10.58% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ TEX | BOS ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −113 | Win | −2.18% | +0.85u |
| Wed Sep 16, 3:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ TOR | DET ML +125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +119 | Loss | +2.94% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 15, 9:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ LAA | LAA ML +155 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +155 to a fair close of +153 | Win | +0.81% | +1.55u |
| Mon Sep 14, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ MIN | NYY ML −119 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −0.75% | +0.84u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ PHI | PHI −6 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −6.84% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFSDSU @ UCLA | SDSU/UCLA Over 54.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −7.61% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 11, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ ATH | SEA/ATH Over 9.5 (−134) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −134 to a fair close of −134 | Win | −0.08% | +0.75u |
| Thu Sep 10, 1:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBHOU @ PHI | HOU/PHI Over 8.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −4.55% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 10:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCIN @ LAD | LAD −1.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −121 | Win | −1.41% | +0.80u |
| Tue Sep 8, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBHOU @ PHI | HOU ML +124 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +124 to a fair close of +124 | Win | −0.06% | +1.24u |
| Mon Sep 7, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ BAL | CLE ML +125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +128 | Loss | −1.39% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 4:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ SD | SD ML +100 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of −106 | Win | +2.90% | +1.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 3:45 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFOKST @ TLSA | TLSA +13.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −1.86% | +0.93u |
| Thu Sep 3, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSTL @ LAD | STL/LAD Over 7.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −11.61% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 2, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ BOS | BOS ML −131 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −131 to a fair close of −137 | Loss | +1.86% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 1, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ COL | BAL ML −137 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −137 to a fair close of −145 | Loss | +2.49% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 31, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ TB | NYM/TB Over 8 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −5.17% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 30, 1:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ TOR | SEA ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −132 | Loss | +0.57% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFHAW @ STAN | HAW/STAN Under 48.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | −3.68% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 28, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ MIN | MIN ML −109 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of −121 | Loss | +5.02% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 27, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ ATL | LAD ML +113 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +113 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | +2.66% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 26, 7:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ TOR | KC ML +140 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +140 to a fair close of +147 | Loss | −2.98% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 25, 7:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ TOR | KC/TOR Over 8.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −7.29% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 24, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTEX @ CHW | TEX/CHW Over 8 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −4.35% | +0.87u |
| Sun Aug 23, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIN @ SD | MIN/SD Over 8.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −113 | Win | −4.58% | +0.80u |
| Sat Aug 22, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIN @ SD | MIN/SD Over 8 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of +108 | Win | −12.49% | +0.82u |
| Fri Aug 21, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ BOS | SF/BOS Under 7.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −3.43% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 20, 2:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ CHW | ATL ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −2.85% | +0.95u |
| Wed Aug 19, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ CLE | CLE −1.5 (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | +1.51% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIN | ATL/MIN Over 8.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −116 | Loss | −1.43% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 17, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIN | ATL/MIN Over 9 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −5.12% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 16, 1:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ TOR | TOR ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −1.36% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 15, 1:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ DET | DET ML −134 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −134 to a fair close of −134 | Loss | −0.08% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 14, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ CLE | SD ML +119 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +119 to a fair close of +115 | Win | +2.08% | +1.19u |
| Thu Aug 13, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPIT @ MIA | MIA ML +110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +115 | Loss | −2.12% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 12, 7:07 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ TOR | BOS ML −117 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −129 | Loss | +4.37% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 11, 7:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ STL | PHI/STL Over 8 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +108 | Loss | −10.30% | −1.00u |
All 58 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.