Reddit · 6 graded picks
u/blacktreechaser2Unranked
First post Aug 27, 2026, latest Oct 3, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Net units (1u flat)
−2.02u
6 priced picks
ROI
−33.7%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
2-4-0
Win rate 33.3%
CLV
−0.86%
95% interval −4.02% to +2.30%
Beat fair close
50.0%
Share of priced picks that beat the fair close
Open picks are for members
Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 6 | 2-4-0 | −33.7% | −0.86% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 3 | 0-3-0 | −100.0% | −1.35% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Player props | 2 | 1-1-0 | +2.5% | +2.50% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 1 | 1-0-0 | +92.6% | −3.25% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 3:50 PM ETLive | NCAAF | FLA −5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · FLA @ MIZ | −110 | Loss | No closing price for this market | −1.00u |
| Sep 19, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | SDSU −2 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · JMU @ SDSU | −109 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | +2.10% | −1.00u |
| Sep 11, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | N. McMillan over 55.5 rec yds (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · MIZ @ KU | −116 | Loss | No closing price for this market | −1.00u |
| Sep 7, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | O. Kromah over 60.5 rush yds (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · SMU @ FSU | +105 to a fair close of +100 | Win | +2.50% | +1.05u |
| Sep 6, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | WIS/ND Over 46 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · WIS @ ND | −108 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −3.25% | +0.93u |
| Sep 5, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | YSU +22 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · YSU @ UK | −105 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −4.80% | −1.00u |
1 pick was tracked live; 5 were reconstructed from the original public posts, at the time and price they were posted. Each row is labeled. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.
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