joblessfinalbossSharp
469 graded picks, first post Mar 24, 2026, latest Aug 5, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+56.11u
469 priced picks
ROI
+12.0%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
258-211-0
Win rate 55.0%
CLV
+4.20%
95% interval +2.92% to +5.56%
Beat the fair close
70.8%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant | 268 | 145-123-0 | +18.1% | +6.08% | 81.3% | Sharp |
| LoL | 70 | 39-31-0 | −8.0% | +3.92% | 54.3% | Sharp |
| CS2 | 35 | 21-14-0 | +12.9% | +0.07% | 57.1% | Not yet |
| Baseball | 15 | 10-5-0 | +28.4% | −0.15% | 53.3% | Unranked |
| MLB | 15 | 9-6-0 | +34.4% | −0.58% | 46.7% | Unranked |
| UFC | 14 | 9-5-0 | +24.3% | +2.37% | 64.3% | Unranked |
| Basketball | 13 | 8-5-0 | +12.8% | +0.31% | 38.5% | Unranked |
| Tennis | 13 | 7-6-0 | +21.4% | +0.25% | 53.8% | Unranked |
| Soccer | 11 | 3-8-0 | −55.7% | +2.53% | 81.8% | Unranked |
| Dota 2 | 9 | 4-5-0 | −20.0% | +2.69% | 77.8% | Unranked |
| NBA | 4 | 2-2-0 | −2.7% | +0.12% | 75.0% | Unranked |
| CoD | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −17.86% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| NHL | 1 | 1-0-0 | +56.3% | +0.78% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 418 | 221-197-0 | +9.6% | +4.25% | 72.7% | Sharp |
| Other | 24 | 20-4-0 | +42.2% | +8.08% | 62.5% | Not yet |
| Total | 19 | 13-6-0 | +32.9% | −0.67% | 47.4% | Unranked |
| Spread | 8 | 4-4-0 | −4.2% | +1.82% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Aug 5, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ BOS | CHW ML at 43¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 43¢ to a fair close of 42.5¢ | Loss | −1.16% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 4, 8:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ TEX | SF/TEX Over 7.5 at 55.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 55.4¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢ | Win | +0.27% | +0.81u |
| Thu Jul 30, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | Esports100 Thieves vs Sentinels | Valorant: 100 Thieves map 1 at 67.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 67.9¢ to a fair close of 78.5¢ | Loss | +15.62% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jul 30, 4:00 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsVARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe | Valorant: VARREL at 49.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 49.2¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢ | Loss | +0.51% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 26, 2:30 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Heretics vs Karmine Corp | Valorant: Team Heretics at 58.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 58.2¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢ | Loss | −20.14% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 26, 3:00 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsLNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas | LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas at 55.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 55.8¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Win | +3.03% | +0.79u |
| Sat Jul 25, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsSentinels vs LOUD | Valorant: LOUD map 1 at 63.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 63.2¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢ | Loss | +0.52% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 25, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsSentinels vs LOUD | Valorant: LOUD at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 49¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢ | Loss | +7.18% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ PIT | CHC ML at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 47¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢ | Win | +1.06% | +1.13u |
| Sat Jul 25, 4:15 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsFlyQuest vs LYON | LoL: FlyQuest at 39.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 39.8¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Loss | +44.64% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 25, 10:45 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Vitality vs G2 Esports | LoL: G2 Esports at 80.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 80.8¢ to a fair close of 80.5¢ | Win | −0.37% | +0.24u |
| Sat Jul 25, 9:00 AM ETReconstructed | MMAM. Davis vs N. Aliev | N. Aliev ML at 67¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 67¢ to a fair close of 68.5¢ | Win | +2.24% | +0.49u |
| Sat Jul 25, 8:50 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsTYLOO vs XLG Gaming | Valorant: XLG Gaming at 53.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 53.2¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢ | Win | +6.11% | +0.88u |
| Sat Jul 25, 6:45 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Secret vs T1 | Valorant: T1 at 75¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 75¢ to a fair close of 75.5¢ | Win | +0.67% | +0.33u |
| Fri Jul 24, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Vitality vs Karmine Corp | LoL: Karmine Corp at 75¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 75¢ to a fair close of 74.5¢ | Win | −0.62% | +0.33u |
| Fri Jul 24, 11:00 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsFUT Esports vs BBL Esports | Valorant: FUT Esports map 2 at 46.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 46.9¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢ | Win | +1.28% | +1.13u |
| Thu Jul 23, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Envy vs MIBR | Valorant: MIBR at 81.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 81.8¢ to a fair close of 77.5¢ | Win | −5.22% | +0.22u |
| Thu Jul 23, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsGentle Mates vs Natus Vincere | Valorant: Natus Vincere map 1 at 53.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 53.5¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Loss | +7.38% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jul 23, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsGentle Mates vs Natus Vincere | Valorant: Gentle Mates at 46.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 46.2¢ to a fair close of 46¢ | Win | −0.51% | +1.16u |
| Wed Jul 22, 8:30 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsAll Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming | Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming at 42¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 42¢ to a fair close of 44¢ | Loss | +4.76% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 18, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Heretics vs Team Liquid | Valorant: Team Heretics map 2 at 62.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 62.4¢ to a fair close of 64¢ | Loss | +2.52% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 18, 6:35 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsPaper Rex vs T1 | Valorant: Paper Rex at 59¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 59¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢ | Loss | +5.93% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 17, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsKRÜ Esports vs LOUD | Valorant: LOUD at 44.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 44.2¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢ | Win | +2.88% | +1.26u |
| Fri Jul 17, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Vitality vs Natus Vincere | Valorant: Natus Vincere at 41.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 41.2¢ to a fair close of 39.5¢ | Loss | −4.13% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 17, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Vitality vs Natus Vincere | Valorant: Natus Vincere map 1 at 44.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 44.2¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢ | Win | +34.75% | +1.26u |
| Thu Jul 16, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsSentinels vs Cloud9 | Valorant: Sentinels at 59.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 59.7¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢ | Win | −8.71% | +0.68u |
| Thu Jul 16, 1:40 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsPcific Esports vs Gentle Mates | Valorant: Pcific Esports map 1 at 32.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 32.1¢ to a fair close of 28.5¢ | Win | −11.13% | +2.12u |
| Wed Jul 15, 1:15 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Liquid vs Eternal Fire | Valorant: Eternal Fire at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 55¢ to a fair close of 66.5¢ | Win | +20.96% | +0.82u |
| Wed Jul 15, 7:40 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsEDward Gaming vs TYLOO | Valorant: EDward Gaming map 1 at 62.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 62.2¢ to a fair close of 68.5¢ | Loss | +10.15% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 12, 4:20 PM ETReconstructed | Esports2GAME Esports vs la Masia | Valorant: la Masia at 30¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 30¢ to a fair close of 29.5¢ | Win | −1.78% | +2.33u |
| Sun Jul 12, 9:45 AM ETReconstructed | Esports100 Thieves vs NRG | Valorant: 100 Thieves map 2 at 49.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 49.7¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢ | Win | −0.50% | +1.01u |
| Sat Jul 11, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MMAC. Almeida vs D. Pinas | D. Pinas ML at 70¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 70¢ to a fair close of 70.5¢ | Win | +0.73% | +0.43u |
| Fri Jul 10, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBARI @ LAD | ARI/LAD Over 8.5 at 58.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 58.1¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Win | −1.06% | +0.72u |
| Fri Jul 10, 4:10 PM ETReconstructed | Esportsla Masia vs Team Solid | Valorant: la Masia at 43.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 43.2¢ to a fair close of 39¢ | Win | −9.76% | +1.31u |
| Fri Jul 10, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Belgium | Spain to win: No at 39.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 39.9¢ to a fair close of 40.6¢ | Loss | +1.88% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jul 9, 1:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ NYM | KC/NYM Over 9.5 at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 47¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢ | Win | −1.06% | +1.13u |
| Tue Jul 7, 12:45 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsTwisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina | Valorant: Pixel Lumina at 46.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 46.7¢ to a fair close of 68.5¢ | Win | +46.54% | +1.14u |
| Sun Jul 5, 9:35 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsGentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce | Valorant: Gentle Mates at 34¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 34¢ to a fair close of 36.5¢ | Win | +7.35% | +1.94u |
| Sat Jul 4, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerCanada vs Morocco | Canada/Morocco draw: Yes at 29.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 29.6¢ to a fair close of 29.5¢ | Loss | −0.40% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 4, 9:15 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsTeam Vitality vs NRG | Valorant: NRG at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 52¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢ | Loss | +6.67% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 4, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed | Esports100 Thieves vs BBL Esports | Valorant: BBL Esports at 35¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 35¢ to a fair close of 36.5¢ | Loss | +4.29% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 4, 2:15 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsBilibili Gaming vs T1 | LoL: T1 at 51.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 51.7¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢ | Loss | +9.18% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 3, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsSaD Esports vs NRG Academy | Valorant: NRG Academy at 43.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 43.5¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢ | Loss | +7.00% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 3, 9:00 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsGentle Mates vs XLG Gaming | Valorant: XLG Gaming map 1 at 44.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 44.1¢ to a fair close of 45¢ | Win | +2.10% | +1.27u |
| Fri Jul 3, 1:40 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsG2 Esports vs Top Esports | LoL: G2 Esports at 47.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 47.7¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢ | Win | −6.80% | +1.09u |
| Thu Jul 2, 2:15 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsREBORN vs Enterprise Esports | Valorant: Enterprise Esports at 44.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 44.7¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢ | Win | +6.20% | +1.24u |
| Thu Jul 2, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsPaper Rex vs NRG | Valorant: NRG map 2 at 42.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 42.2¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢ | Win | +5.36% | +1.37u |
| Tue Jun 30, 8:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ COL | MIA/COL Over 11.5 at 45¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 45¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢ | Win | +1.11% | +1.22u |
| Tue Jun 30, 8:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ CHC | SD/CHC Over 11.5 at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 47¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢ | Win | −5.32% | +1.13u |
| Mon Jun 29, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ ARI | SF/ARI Over 8.5 at 56.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 56.1¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢ | Win | +0.67% | +0.78u |
All 469 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.