ndb1Sharp

453 graded picks, first post Mar 25, 2026, latest Sep 28, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+11.62u

453 priced picks

ROI

+2.6%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

278-175-0

Win rate 61.4%

CLV

+0.45%

95% interval +0.06% to +0.86%

Beat the fair close

61.3%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +11.6u, peak +21.0u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Soccer222140-82-0−2.5%+0.50%60.8%Sharp
Basketball9453-41-0+17.9%−0.80%51.1%Not yet
NHL4220-22-0−18.3%+0.72%71.4%Sharp
NFL3723-14-0−6.6%+0.52%62.2%Sharp
NBA1711-6-0−3.2%+4.12%70.6%Unranked
Premier League129-3-0+37.2%+0.58%66.7%Unranked
Baseball75-2-0+37.5%+1.81%71.4%Unranked
Golf55-0-0+0.8%+0.29%60.0%Unranked
La Liga42-2-0+28.0%+1.01%100.0%Unranked
MLB33-0-0+120.0%+5.70%66.7%Unranked
Uefa Conference League33-0-0+0.2%n/an/aUnranked
CS222-0-0+45.2%+0.78%100.0%Unranked
Dota 220-2-0−100.0%+2.01%100.0%Unranked
Cricket11-0-0+107.6%+6.90%100.0%Unranked
NCAAF11-0-0+2.8%+0.31%100.0%Unranked
Tennis10-1-0−100.0%−7.89%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Total16591-74-0+4.3%−0.33%59.4%Not yet
Moneyline12665-61-0−4.9%+1.10%68.3%Sharp
Other8169-12-0+10.2%+0.85%51.3%Sharp
Spread8153-28-0+2.9%+0.65%64.2%Sharp

Graded picks

453 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

ndb1: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHIPHI −4.5 at 44¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)44¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢Loss+1.14%−1.00u
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHIPHI +6.5 at 80¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)80¢ to a fair close of 79.5¢Loss−0.62%−1.00u
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHIPHI +3.5 at 74¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)74¢ to a fair close of 75.5¢Loss+2.03%−1.00u
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHIPHI/CHI Over 56.5 at 14¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)14¢ to a fair close of 15¢Loss+7.12%−1.00u
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHIPHI/CHI Over 42.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)50¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢Loss+1.00%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENLAR +9.5 at 80¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)80¢ to a fair close of 80.5¢Win+0.63%+0.25u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENLAR +6.5 at 72¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)72¢ to a fair close of 73.5¢Win+2.08%+0.39u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENLAR +5.5 at 68¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)68¢ to a fair close of 69¢Win+1.47%+0.47u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +20.5 at 94¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)94¢ to a fair close of 94¢Win0.00%+0.06u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +4.5 at 67¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)67¢ to a fair close of 66¢Win−1.49%+0.49u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +13.5 at 86¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)86¢ to a fair close of 86.5¢Win+0.58%+0.16u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +10.5 at 82.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)82.9¢ to a fair close of 82.5¢Win−0.52%+0.21u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +8.5 at 79¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)79¢ to a fair close of 79.5¢Win+0.63%+0.27u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +9.5 at 78.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)78.2¢ to a fair close of 79.5¢Win+1.69%+0.28u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +6.5 at 70¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)70¢ to a fair close of 71¢Win+1.42%+0.43u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +7.5 at 76¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)76¢ to a fair close of 76.5¢Win+0.66%+0.32u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN +5.5 at 68.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)68.5¢ to a fair close of 68.5¢Win−0.02%+0.46u
Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructedNFLMIN @ TBMIN/TB Under 42.5 at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)49¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢Win−1.02%+1.04u
Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructedNFLARI @ SFARI/SF Under 48.5 at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)49¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢Loss−1.02%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ WSHSEA ML at 77¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)77¢ to a fair close of 77.5¢Loss+0.65%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLNE @ JAXNE/JAX Under 46.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)50¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢Win−1.00%+1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBATL/GB Under 41.5 at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)46¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢Loss−1.09%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBATL/GB Under 31.5 at 18¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)18¢ to a fair close of 17.5¢Loss−2.78%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBGB +1.5 at 71¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)71¢ to a fair close of 70.5¢Loss−0.70%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBATL/GB Under 47.5 at 63¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)63¢ to a fair close of 64.5¢Loss+2.38%−1.00u
Tue Sep 22, 1:05 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB @ NYYTB/NYY Under 7.5 at 54.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54.1¢ to a fair close of 58.5¢Win+8.21%+0.85u
Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLNYG @ LARLAR ML at 72¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)72¢ to a fair close of 71.5¢Win−0.69%+0.39u
Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructedNFLWSH @ DALDAL ML at 66¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)66¢ to a fair close of 65.5¢Win−0.76%+0.52u
Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructedNFLWSH @ DALDAL +3.5 at 76¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)76¢ to a fair close of 76.5¢Win+0.66%+0.32u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLGB @ NYJNYJ +6.5 at 61¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)61¢ to a fair close of 62¢Win+1.64%+0.64u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLGB @ NYJNYJ +3.5 at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢Win+0.93%+0.85u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLPIT @ NEPIT +7.5 at 62¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)62¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢Loss+0.81%−1.00u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLPIT @ NEPIT +10.5 at 69¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)69¢ to a fair close of 69.5¢Loss+0.72%−1.00u
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 AM ETReconstructedSoccerSpurs vs Aston VillaSpurs/Aston Villa Under 10.5 corners at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)51¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢Loss+4.90%−1.00u
Wed Sep 16, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerMIL vs BENMilan to win: No at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢Win+0.93%+0.85u
Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLDEN @ KCKC +2.5 at 58¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)58¢ to a fair close of 58.5¢Win+0.86%+0.72u
Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLDEN @ KCKC ML at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢Win−0.93%+0.85u
Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLDEN @ KCKC +3.5 at 66¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)66¢ to a fair close of 66.5¢Win+0.76%+0.52u
Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLTB @ CINTB/CIN Under 50.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)51¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Loss+0.98%−1.00u
Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ PITATL/PIT Under 41.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢Win+0.96%+0.92u
Sun Sep 13, 11:30 AM ETReconstructedSoccerMan United vs Man CityMan United/Man City BTTS: No at 32¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)32¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢Win−1.56%+2.13u
Sun Sep 13, 11:30 AM ETReconstructedSoccerMan United vs Man CityMan United/Man City Under 3.5 at 57¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)57¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢Win−0.88%+0.75u
Sun Sep 13, 9:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerCoventry vs BrightonCoventry/Brighton Under 2.5 at 44¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)44¢ to a fair close of 41.5¢Loss−5.68%−1.00u
Sat Sep 12, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerSUN vs ARSArsenal ML at 59¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)59¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢Win+0.85%+0.69u
Sat Sep 12, 10:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerAST vs NOTNottm Forest to win: No at 70¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)70¢ to a fair close of 70.5¢Loss+0.71%−1.00u
Sat Sep 12, 10:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerLiverpool vs FulhamLiverpool/Fulham BTTS: No at 39¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)39¢ to a fair close of 39.5¢Win+1.28%+1.56u
Sat Sep 12, 7:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerJIN vs TIETianjin Jinmen Hu to win: No at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)55¢ to a fair close of 52¢Loss−5.45%−1.00u
Fri Sep 11, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerSEV vs VALSevilla to win: No at 45.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)45.5¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢Loss−0.01%−1.00u
Fri Sep 11, 2:45 PM ETReconstructedSoccerVEN vs FIOACF Fiorentina to win: No at 60¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)60¢ to a fair close of 60.5¢Loss+0.83%−1.00u
Wed Sep 9, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerNAP vs ARSNapoli to win: No at 83¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)83¢ to a fair close of 83.5¢Win+0.60%+0.20u

All 453 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.