@callingourshotLosing to the close
54 graded picks, first post Dec 19, 2025, latest Sep 28, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−22.39u
51 priced picks
ROI
−43.9%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
18-36-0
Win rate 33.3%
CLV
−2.14%
95% interval −4.09% to −0.08%
Beat the fair close
35.0%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 33 | 12-21-0 | −35.7% | −2.01% | 33.3% | Not yet |
| NFL | 21 | 6-15-0 | −58.9% | −2.72% | 42.9% | Not yet |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 36 | 14-22-0 | −35.4% | −2.80% | 40.9% | Losing to the close |
| Total | 10 | 2-8-0 | −64.0% | −2.24% | 30.0% | Unranked |
| Team total | 5 | 0-5-0 | −100.0% | −3.20% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 3 | 2-1-0 | +23.5% | +4.84% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | D. Swift over 76.5 rush+rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | L. McConkey over 79.5 rec yds (+230) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +230 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | L. McConkey over 69.5 rec yds (+162) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +162 to a fair close of +158 | Loss | +1.53% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | L. McConkey over 55.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 | Win | n/a | +0.88u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ IND | D. Jones under 210.5 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ IND | D. Jones under 219.5 pass yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | M. Nabers over 7.5 rec (+300) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +300 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | M. Nabers over 6.5 rec (+162) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +162 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | M. Nabers over 5.5 rec (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +110 | Loss | −10.70% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ ARI | J. Love over 3.5 rec (+165) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +165 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ ARI | J. Love over 2.5 rec (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −125 | Win | +3.86% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCLE @ TB | Q. Judkins over 12.5 rush att (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | DET/BUF Under 54.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −4.65% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | P. Mahomes under 1.5 pass TDs (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −134 | Loss | +1.38% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCLE @ JAX | Q. Judkins under 16.5 rush att (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ HOU | K. Shakir over 6.5 rec (+690) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +690 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ HOU | K. Shakir over 5.5 rec (+375) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +375 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ HOU | K. Shakir over 4.5 rec (+175) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +175 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ HOU | K. Shakir over 3.5 rec (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −115 | Win | −3.80% | +0.80u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | C. McCaffrey over 37.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | D. Maye under 229.5 pass yds (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −6.64% | +0.85u |
| Thu Aug 27, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBHOU @ NYY | G. Cole over 5.5 Ks (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −116 | Loss | −3.17% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 26, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTEX @ CHW | M. Gore over 6.5 Ks (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +166 | Loss | −17.39% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 26, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ MIA | R. Gusto under 3.5 Ks (+112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +112 to a fair close of +125 | Win | −5.58% | +1.12u |
| Wed Aug 26, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ SEA | B. Woo under 5.5 Ks (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −163 | Win | +7.80% | +0.74u |
| Tue Aug 25, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ ATL | T. Glasnow under 6.5 Ks (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −131 | Loss | +0.29% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 25, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ DET | I. Seymour over 5.5 Ks (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −104 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | +3.12% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 24, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ SEA | Z. Wheeler under 7.5 Ks (−152) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −152 to a fair close of −136 | Win | −4.35% | +0.66u |
| Mon Aug 24, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ ARI | M. Kelly over 2.5 ER (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −113 | Win | −6.22% | +0.77u |
| Mon Aug 24, 6:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ WSH | C. Cavalli under 6.5 Ks (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −9.57% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ KC | DET/KC Over 8.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −6.83% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIL | MIL ML −100 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −100 to a fair close of −151 | Win | +20.30% | +1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ NYY | R. Weathers under 5.5 Ks (−139) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −139 to a fair close of −158 | Win | +5.17% | +0.72u |
| Fri Aug 21, 10:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPIT @ LAD | B. Chandler under 4.5 Ks (−154) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −154 to a fair close of −136 | Loss | −4.84% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 21, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAA @ TEX | TEX ML −142 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −142 to a fair close of −129 | Win | −4.10% | +0.70u |
| Fri Aug 21, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ CHW | S. Manaea under 6.5 Ks (−193) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −193 to a fair close of −151 | Win | −8.57% | +0.52u |
| Fri Aug 21, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSTL @ PHI | STL/PHI Under 8.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −120 | Loss | −1.83% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 20, 12:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSTL @ CIN | CIN TT Under 4.5 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −124 | Loss | −3.79% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAA @ HOU | HOU TT Over 4.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −125 | Loss | −0.15% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIN | ATL/MIN Over 8.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −116 | Loss | +0.52% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 16, 7:20 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ HOU | HOU ML −122 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −118 | Loss | −1.67% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 16, 12:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ TB | F. Peralta under 6.5 Ks (−150) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −132 | Win | −5.18% | +0.67u |
| Sat Aug 15, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ PIT | S. Gray under 2.5 ER (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −153 | Win | +3.57% | +0.71u |
| Sat Aug 15, 1:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ DET | CHW/DET F5 Under 4.5 (−126) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −126 to a fair close of −113 | Loss | −4.68% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 14, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ HOU | SEA/HOU F5 Under 4.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −2.64% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 14, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ PIT | BOS/PIT Over 7.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −7.63% | +0.77u |
| Tue Aug 11, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ ATH | N. Martinez under 6.5 hits allowed (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −136 | Loss | +3.85% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 11, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCIN @ CHW | CHW TT Over 4.5 (+106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +106 to a fair close of +130 | Loss | −10.30% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 10, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ SD | MIL TT Over 3.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −3.44% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 8, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAA @ MIA | LAA/MIA F5 Under 4.5 (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 to a fair close of −152 | Loss | +6.04% | −1.00u |
All 54 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.