@charliedisturcoLosing to the close
20 graded picks, first post Aug 1, 2026, latest Sep 27, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−5.93u
20 priced picks
ROI
−29.7%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
5-15-0
Win rate 25.0%
CLV
−16.61%
95% interval −21.77% to −11.76%
Beat the fair close
5.0%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 13 | 2-11-0 | −34.5% | −23.09% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| NFL | 7 | 3-4-0 | −20.8% | −4.58% | 14.3% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 18 | 3-15-0 | −42.1% | −18.56% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Team total | 1 | 1-0-0 | +77.5% | +1.90% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 1 | 1-0-0 | +86.2% | −0.01% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | G. Pickens over 64.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +103 | Win | −5.87% | +0.91u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | G. Pickens anytime TD (+155) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +155 to a fair close of +165 | Loss | −3.93% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ SF | ARI/SF Over 47.5 (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of −116 | Win | −0.01% | +0.86u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ JAX | JAX TT Over 23.5 (−129) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −129 to a fair close of −135 | Win | +1.90% | +0.78u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ DET | J. Williams over 54.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −3.53% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | A. Barner anytime TD (+265) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +265 to a fair close of +338 | Loss | −16.72% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | H. Henry over 33.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −3.92% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 25, 7:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ TOR | V. Guerrero Jr. over 0.5 HR (+540) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +540 to a fair close of +856 | Loss | −33.08% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIN | R. Acuña over 0.5 HR (+375) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +375 to a fair close of +541 | Loss | −25.94% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ PHI | K. Schwarber over 0.5 HR (+287) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +287 to a fair close of +321 | Loss | −8.04% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 16, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ MIN | B. Buxton over 0.5 HR (+375) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +375 to a fair close of +525 | Loss | −24.05% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 11, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ ARI | K. Marte over 0.5 HR (+372) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +372 to a fair close of +511 | Win | −22.76% | +3.72u |
| Tue Aug 11, 9:39 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTEX @ LAA | C. Seager over 0.5 HR (+263) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +263 to a fair close of +338 | Loss | −17.21% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 8, 6:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ PHI | B. Harper over 0.5 HR (+280) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +280 to a fair close of +383 | Win | −21.25% | +2.80u |
| Thu Aug 6, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ ARI | F. Tatis Jr. over 0.5 HR (+458) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +458 to a fair close of +690 | Loss | −29.38% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 6, 12:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAA @ BAL | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+262) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +262 to a fair close of +383 | Loss | −24.98% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 3, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ HOU | G. Springer over 0.5 HR (+440) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +440 to a fair close of +639 | Loss | −26.88% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 3, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ HOU | Y. Alvarez over 0.5 HR (+310) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +310 to a fair close of +355 | Loss | −9.91% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 2, 1:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSTL @ TOR | V. Guerrero Jr. over 0.5 HR (+418) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +418 to a fair close of +680 | Loss | −33.59% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 2, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBWSH @ ATL | J. Wood over 0.5 HR (+308) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +308 to a fair close of +431 | Loss | −23.12% | −1.00u |
All 20 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.