u/chooch4545Unranked

6 graded picks, first post Sep 3, 2026, latest Sep 20, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+2.18u

6 priced picks

ROI

+36.3%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

4-1-1

Win rate 80.0%

CLV

−2.24%

95% interval −5.15% to +1.56%

Beat the fair close

16.7%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +2.2u, peak +3.2u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NCAAF33-0-0+80.3%−0.37%33.3%Unranked
NFL31-1-1−7.7%−4.10%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Spread43-0-1+60.2%−1.70%25.0%Unranked
Player props21-1-0−11.5%−3.31%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

6 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/chooch4545: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLMIN @ CHIJ. Addison over 39.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +104Loss−6.32%−1.00u
Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructedNFLSF @ LARM. Evans over 3.5 rec (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)−130 to a fair close of −129Win−0.30%+0.77u
Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLNE @ SEASEA −3 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −106Push−5.69%0.00u
Sun Sep 6, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFLOU @ MISSLOU +7.5 (−137) (original post, opens in a new tab)−137 to a fair close of −128Win−2.83%+0.73u
Fri Sep 4, 6:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFSJSU @ EMUSJSU +3.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)−130 to a fair close of −150Win+6.27%+0.77u
Thu Sep 3, 6:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMASS @ RUTGMASS +29.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +100Win−4.55%+0.91u

All 6 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.