@chrisfallicaUnranked

19 graded picks, first post Oct 2, 2025, latest Sep 25, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+0.06u

19 priced picks

ROI

+0.3%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

10-9-0

Win rate 52.6%

CLV

−2.92%

95% interval −5.69% to −0.05%

Beat the fair close

31.6%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +0.1u, peak +2.6u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NCAAF1910-9-0+0.3%−2.92%31.6%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Spread1710-7-0+12.1%−2.64%35.3%Unranked
Total20-2-0−100.0%−5.27%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

19 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

@chrisfallica: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sat Sep 26, 7:45 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMIZ @ MSSTMIZ +6.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of −138Loss+8.41%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFOKST @ WVUOKST +1.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)−108 to a fair close of +101Win−4.15%+0.93u
Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFKSU @ CINCIN +6.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of −103Win−5.27%+0.87u
Sat Sep 26, 6:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFJMU @ ODUODU +5.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)−109 to a fair close of +131Loss−17.07%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFOU @ UGAOU +14.5 (−136) (original post, opens in a new tab)−136 to a fair close of −150Loss+4.14%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFTEX @ TENNTENN +4.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of +110Win−7.19%+0.95u
Sat Sep 19, 11:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFFRES @ SJSUSJSU +6.5 (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab)−111 to a fair close of −129Loss+6.92%−1.00u
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFCOLO @ NUNU −3 (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab)−132 to a fair close of −113Win−6.60%+0.76u
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFVT @ MDMD +3 (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)−116 to a fair close of −122Loss+2.15%−1.00u
Sat Sep 19, 4:15 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMSST @ SCSC −4 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)−108 to a fair close of +122Loss−13.06%−1.00u
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFFSU @ ALAFSU +19.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −104Win−2.77%+0.91u
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFM-OH @ CINM-OH +15.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −114Win+1.66%+0.91u
Sat Sep 12, 11:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFUL @ USCUL +31.5 (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)−116 to a fair close of −107Win−3.65%+0.86u
Sat Sep 12, 7:45 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFUSM @ AUBAUB −33 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab)−102 to a fair close of +104Win−2.86%+0.98u
Sat Sep 12, 6:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFBUF @ FIUBUF/FIU Under 47 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of +105Loss−4.65%−1.00u
Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFDUKE @ ILLDUKE/ILL Under 51.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +103Loss−5.89%−1.00u
Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFALA @ UKUK +10 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −119Loss+3.73%−1.00u
Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFPSU @ TEMTEM +24 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +102Win−5.46%+0.91u
Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFUSF @ ARMYUSF +3 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab)−102 to a fair close of +106Win−3.82%+0.98u

All 19 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.