Daft PreviewsLosing to the close

45 graded picks, first post Oct 1, 2025, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+2.96u

44 priced picks

ROI

+6.7%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

26-19-0

Win rate 57.8%

CLV

−5.13%

95% interval −6.52% to −3.90%

Beat the fair close

7.7%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +3.0u, peak +4.1u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
WNBA3117-14-0+3.4%−6.01%7.1%Losing to the close
NFL107-3-0+20.0%−2.78%14.3%Unranked
NBA42-2-0+2.5%−3.03%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Player props4526-19-0+6.7%−5.13%7.7%Losing to the close

Graded picks

45 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

Daft Previews: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPIT @ CLED. Metcalf over 38.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)unpricedWinn/an/a
Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructedNFLMIN @ TBB. Irving over 2.5 rec (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)−135 to a fair close of −131Loss−1.41%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 2:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINO. Miles over 4.5 reb (+106) (original post, opens in a new tab)+106 to a fair close of +110Win−1.83%+1.06u
Sun Sep 27, 2:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINO. Miles over 18.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −105Loss−6.28%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLNYJ @ DETJ. Gibbs over 18.5 rush att (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)−116 to a fair close of +100Win−6.90%+0.86u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLCAR @ CLEQ. Judkins over 59.5 rush yds (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)−109 to a fair close of −114Win+2.33%+0.92u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLHOU @ INDD. Montgomery over 11.5 rush att (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab)−140Lossn/a−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLNYJ @ DETG. Wilson over 59.5 rec yds (−178) (original post, opens in a new tab)−178Winn/a+0.56u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLKC @ MIAD. Achane over 3.5 rec (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −117Loss−1.02%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBT. Kraft over 3.5 rec (−160) (original post, opens in a new tab)−160 to a fair close of −141Win−4.83%+0.63u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBJ. Love over 1.5 pass TDs (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −106Win−5.78%+0.83u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBD. London over 5.5 rec (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab)+100 to a fair close of +104Win−1.86%+1.00u
Wed Sep 23, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBADAL @ SEAP. Bueckers over 1.5 3PM (−152) (original post, opens in a new tab)−152 to a fair close of −131Loss−5.91%−1.00u
Wed Sep 23, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBADAL @ SEAF. Johnson over 1.5 3PM (−148) (original post, opens in a new tab)−148 to a fair close of −136Loss−3.44%−1.00u
Wed Sep 23, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAATL @ NYS. Ionescu over 14.5 pts (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)−108Lossn/a−1.00u
Sun Sep 20, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBASEA @ LVA. Wilson over 3.5 ast (+107) (original post, opens in a new tab)+107 to a fair close of +125Win−7.85%+1.07u
Sun Sep 20, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAPOR @ LAN. Ogwumike over 27.5 P+R (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab)−106 to a fair close of +103Win−4.14%+0.94u
Sun Sep 20, 4:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAWSH @ INDK. Iriafen over 16.5 pts (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab)−114 to a fair close of +101Win−6.56%+0.88u
Sun Sep 20, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ TORS. Ionescu over 5.5 ast (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab)−119 to a fair close of −103Win−6.75%+0.84u
Sun Sep 20, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ TORM. Johannès over 1.5 3PM (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)−118 to a fair close of +115Win−13.90%+0.85u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAMIN @ CONO. Miles under 19.5 pts (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab)−114 to a fair close of +100Loss−6.14%−1.00u
Fri Sep 18, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAPOR @ GSV. Burton over 14.5 pts (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)−112 to a fair close of +111Loss−10.22%−1.00u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINB. Stewart over 19.5 pts (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of +129Win−18.42%+0.87u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINJ. Jones over 8.5 reb (−143) (original post, opens in a new tab)−143 to a fair close of −118Win−8.05%+0.70u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINS. Ionescu over 4.5 ast (−155) (original post, opens in a new tab)−155 to a fair close of −162Win+1.77%+0.65u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINS. Ionescu over 15.5 pts (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)−109 to a fair close of +110Win−8.63%+0.92u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINC. Williams over 12.5 pts (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +101Loss−4.98%−1.00u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINK. McBride over 2.5 3PM (−146) (original post, opens in a new tab)−146 to a fair close of −144Loss−0.52%−1.00u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBAIND @ TORK. Rice over 14.5 pts (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab)−119 to a fair close of −113Win−2.24%+0.84u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBAIND @ TORM. Timpson over 8.5 pts (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab)−106 to a fair close of +108Loss−6.52%−1.00u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBAIND @ TORA. Boston over 16.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −101Loss−7.92%−1.00u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBAIND @ TORC. Clark over 22.5 pts (−124) (original post, opens in a new tab)−124 to a fair close of −114Win−3.59%+0.81u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBAIND @ TORK. Mitchell over 25.5 pts (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab)−119 to a fair close of −114Win−1.83%+0.84u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBANY @ MINL. Fiebich over 1.5 3PM (−127) (original post, opens in a new tab)−127 to a fair close of −128Loss+0.35%−1.00u
Thu Sep 17, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAPHX @ PORA. Thomas over 8.5 ast (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab)−132 to a fair close of −128Loss−1.45%−1.00u
Thu Sep 17, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBALV @ SEAA. Wilson over 3.5 ast (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab)+110 to a fair close of +159Win−18.93%+1.10u
Fri Aug 28, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBAPOR @ ATLN. Hillmon over 13.5 P+R (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab)−119Winn/a+0.84u
Sat Aug 15, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAMIN @ LVO. Miles over 1.5 3PM (+109) (original post, opens in a new tab)+109 to a fair close of +119Win−4.59%+1.09u
Fri Aug 14, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBADAL @ INDA. Ogunbowale over 16.5 pts (−129) (original post, opens in a new tab)−129 to a fair close of −112Win−6.31%+0.78u
Mon Aug 10, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBACHI @ SEAN. Cloud over 12.5 pts (−124) (original post, opens in a new tab)−124 to a fair close of −115Loss−3.45%−1.00u
Fri Jul 31, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedWNBASEA @ ATLA. Fam over 2.5 3PM (+285) (original post, opens in a new tab)+285Lossn/a−1.00u
Wed Jun 10, 8:40 PM ETReconstructedNBASA @ NYO. Anunoby over 2.5 3PM (+130) (original post, opens in a new tab)+130 to a fair close of +150Win−8.14%+1.30u
Mon Jun 8, 8:40 PM ETReconstructedNBASA @ NYD. Vassell over 7.5 R+A (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab)−102 to a fair close of +100Loss−0.98%−1.00u
Mon Jun 8, 8:40 PM ETReconstructedNBASA @ NYM. Bridges over 16.5 P+A (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −104Loss−2.83%−1.00u
Mon Jun 8, 8:40 PM ETReconstructedNBASA @ NYV. Wembanyama over 26.5 pts (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)−125 to a fair close of −125Win−0.16%+0.80u

All 45 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.