@dangambleaiLosing to the close
121 graded picks, first post Aug 2, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+25.91u
114 priced picks
ROI
+22.7%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
67-54-0
Win rate 55.4%
CLV
−4.89%
95% interval −6.54% to −2.84%
Beat the fair close
18.2%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 71 | 38-33-0 | +16.9% | −5.51% | 15.7% | Losing to the close |
| WNBA | 24 | 14-10-0 | −22.7% | −4.87% | 16.7% | Losing to the close |
| MLB | 16 | 9-7-0 | +89.5% | −5.93% | 6.7% | Unranked |
| NCAAF | 7 | 3-4-0 | +16.3% | +0.69% | 42.9% | Unranked |
| Soccer | 3 | 3-0-0 | +78.0% | −2.06% | 66.7% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 99 | 56-43-0 | +27.0% | −5.89% | 10.6% | Losing to the close |
| Moneyline | 10 | 8-2-0 | +70.2% | −1.58% | 40.0% | Unranked |
| Spread | 8 | 1-7-0 | −75.6% | −3.02% | 37.5% | Unranked |
| Total | 4 | 2-2-0 | +3.3% | −0.29% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ CLE | R. Wilson over 1.5 rec (−310) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −310 | Win | n/a | +0.32u |
| Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ CLE | Q. Judkins over 1.5 rec (−220) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −220 to a fair close of −168 | Win | −8.73% | +0.45u |
| Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ CLE | D. Metcalf over 2.5 rec (−325) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −325 | Win | n/a | +0.31u |
| Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ CLE | D. Watson over 0.5 pass TDs (−220) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −220 to a fair close of −201 | Win | −2.87% | +0.45u |
| Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ CLE | A. Rodgers over 174.5 pass yds (−334) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −334 | Win | n/a | +0.30u |
| Wed Sep 30, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | CHW ML +122 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +122 to a fair close of +138 | Win | −6.63% | +1.22u |
| Wed Sep 30, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ ATL | K. Schwarber over 1.5 H+R+RBI (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −6.68% | +0.91u |
| Tue Sep 29, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SD | CHC ML +108 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +108 to a fair close of +125 | Loss | −7.62% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | D. Wicks over 49.5 rec yds (+126) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +126 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | PHI/CHI Over 41.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −116 | Loss | +2.52% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ DEN | B. Corum over 46.5 rush yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.14% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ JAX | P. Washington over 59.5 rec yds (−128) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −128 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | P. Freirmuth over 39.5 rec yds (+150) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +150 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | C. Brown over 69.5 rush yds (+140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +140 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | L. McConkey over 59.5 rec yds (+140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +140 to a fair close of +100 | Win | +20.00% | +1.40u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ JAX | P. Washington over 69.5 rec yds (+145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +145 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | +27.99% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | J. Chase over 99.5 rec yds (+230) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +230 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | J. Chase over 89.5 rec yds (+162) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +162 | Win | n/a | +1.62u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | J. Chase over 74.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −6.35% | +0.88u |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFOU @ UGA | OU +14.5 (−144) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −144 to a fair close of −150 | Loss | +1.68% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 25, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFNU @ IU | IU −20.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −7.74% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | J. Love over 1.5 pass TDs (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −106 | Win | −5.05% | +0.85u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | D. London over 99.5 rec yds (+350) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +350 | Win | n/a | +3.50u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | D. London over 79.5 rec yds (+174) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +174 | Win | n/a | +1.74u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | D. London over 62.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −127 | Win | +5.09% | +0.88u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | C. Parkinson anytime TD (+240) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +240 to a fair close of +275 | Loss | −9.43% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | C. Skattebo anytime TD (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +135 | Loss | −10.72% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | D. Adams anytime TD (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −9.58% | +0.80u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | I. Likely anytime TD (+290) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +290 to a fair close of +327 | Loss | −8.64% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | M. Nabers over 5.5 rec (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +110 | Loss | −10.70% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ KC | A. Pierce over 3.5 rec (+148) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +148 to a fair close of +161 | Loss | −4.80% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIA @ SF | M. Evans anytime TD (+135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +135 to a fair close of +148 | Loss | −5.24% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | G. Pickens over 63.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −6.77% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLV @ LAC | A. Jeanty over 69.5 rush yds (+106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +106 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLJAX @ DEN | P. Washington over 59.5 rec yds (+128) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +128 to a fair close of −102 | Win | +15.06% | +1.28u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ TEN | C. Tate over 49.5 rec yds (+132) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +132 to a fair close of +132 | Loss | −0.16% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ NE | K. Williams anytime TD (+750) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +750 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ ATL | J. Coker over 59.5 rec yds (+134) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +134 to a fair close of +158 | Win | −9.32% | +1.34u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ BAL | D. Henry over 99.5 rush yds (+138) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +138 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFFLA @ AUB | FLA ML +120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of −124 | Win | +21.62% | +1.20u |
| Fri Sep 18, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFHOU @ TTU | HOU/TTU Over 52.5 (+124) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +124 to a fair close of +102 | Win | +10.95% | +1.24u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | J. Williams over 99.5 rec yds (+370) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +370 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | J. Williams over 79.5 rec yds (+194) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +194 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | J. Williams over 59.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −8.24% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 16, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ HOU | C. Javier over 4.5 Ks (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −5.83% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 15, 9:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ LAA | L. Gilbert over 6.5 Ks (−127) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −127 to a fair close of −118 | Win | −3.28% | +0.79u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | KC ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −116 | Win | −5.16% | +0.77u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | P. Bryant over 49.5 rec yds (+370) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +370 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | P. Bryant over 39.5 rec yds (+225) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +225 | Win | n/a | +2.25u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | P. Bryant over 24.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −120 | Win | +2.25% | +0.88u |
All 121 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.