X · 6 graded picks
@farleybetsUnranked
First post Aug 3, 2026, latest Oct 2, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Net units (1u flat)
−2.13u
4 priced picks
ROI
−53.3%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
2-4-0
Win rate 33.3%
CLV
−1.95%
95% interval −6.52% to +3.33%
Beat fair close
33.3%
Share of priced picks that beat the fair close
Open picks are for members
Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 4 | 1-3-0 | −53.3% | −1.95% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| NCAAF | 1 | 0-1-0 | No priced picks yet | No picks with a fair close yet | No picks with a fair close yet | Unranked |
| NFL | 1 | 1-0-0 | No priced picks yet | No picks with a fair close yet | No picks with a fair close yet | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 2 | 0-2-0 | −100.0% | −2.65% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 2 | 1-1-0 | −6.5% | −1.60% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Player props | 1 | 1-0-0 | No priced picks yet | No picks with a fair close yet | No picks with a fair close yet | Unranked |
| Team total | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | No picks with a fair close yet | No picks with a fair close yet | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 7:00 PM ETLive | NCAAF | VT −2.5 (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · PITT @ VT | unpriced | Loss | No closing price for this market | Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units |
| Sep 13, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFL | M. Nabers over 60.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DAL @ NYG | unpriced | Win | No closing price for this market | Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units |
| Aug 28, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBA | WSH/LA 1Q Over 40.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · WSH @ LA | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −6.52% | +0.87u |
| Aug 11, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBA | LV 1H TT Over 42.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · WSH @ LV | −108 | Loss | No closing price for this market | −1.00u |
| Aug 8, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBA | IND/CHI Over 190.5 (−107) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · IND @ CHI | −107 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | +3.33% | −1.00u |
| Aug 8, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBA | LV +5.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · LV @ MIN | −114 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −2.65% | −1.00u |
1 pick was tracked live; 5 were reconstructed from the original public posts, at the time and price they were posted. Each row is labeled. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.
More proven sharps
See the full leaderboard- BreakTheBank, proven sharp in NFL
- Elaran1993, proven sharp in NCAAF
- primm, proven sharp in NCAAF
- Kch-Temp, proven sharp in NFL
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