@gneiffer07Losing to the close
44 graded picks, first post Aug 1, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+19.76u
44 priced picks
ROI
+44.9%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
13-31-0
Win rate 29.5%
CLV
−19.24%
95% interval −21.46% to −16.94%
Beat the fair close
2.3%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 42 | 12-30-0 | +37.5% | −19.78% | 0.0% | Losing to the close |
| NFL | 2 | 1-1-0 | +200.0% | −7.74% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 44 | 13-31-0 | +44.9% | −19.24% | 2.3% | Losing to the close |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Sep 30, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | M. Vargas over 0.5 HR (+525) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +525 to a fair close of +753 | Loss | −26.73% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | M. Vargas over 0.5 HR (+472) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +472 to a fair close of +537 | Loss | −10.23% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 25, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ NYY | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+370) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +370 to a fair close of +536 | Win | −26.15% | +3.70u |
| Thu Sep 24, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ NYY | B. Rice over 0.5 HR (+548) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +548 to a fair close of +677 | Loss | −16.62% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 23, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ TEX | C. Seager over 0.5 HR (+500) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +500 to a fair close of +765 | Loss | −30.64% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 22, 8:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ TEX | J. Burger over 0.5 HR (+386) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +386 to a fair close of +486 | Loss | −17.04% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 3:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ COL | L. Montes over 0.5 HR (+400) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +400 to a fair close of +562 | Loss | −24.45% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 6:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATH @ CLE | J. Adell over 0.5 HR (+465) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +465 to a fair close of +600 | Loss | −19.23% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 18, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ BAL | J. Chourio over 0.5 HR (+475) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +475 to a fair close of +576 | Win | −14.97% | +4.75u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | D. Moore anytime TD (+182) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +182 to a fair close of +172 | Loss | +3.82% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | D. Knox anytime TD (+500) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +500 to a fair close of +644 | Win | −19.31% | +5.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 12:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ CIN | E. De La Cruz over 0.5 HR (+280) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +280 to a fair close of +313 | Loss | −7.95% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 16, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATH @ TB | J. Caminero over 0.5 HR (+324) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +324 to a fair close of +376 | Loss | −10.93% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ ATH | R. Arozarena over 0.5 HR (+412) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +412 to a fair close of +483 | Win | −12.19% | +4.12u |
| Sat Sep 12, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTEX @ ARI | C. Seager over 0.5 HR (+440) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +440 to a fair close of +473 | Loss | −5.71% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 6:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ BAL | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+363) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +363 to a fair close of +454 | Loss | −16.44% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 3, 2:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | M. Murakami over 0.5 HR (+400) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +400 to a fair close of +557 | Loss | −23.94% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 2, 3:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ COL | G. Henderson over 0.5 HR (+375) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +375 to a fair close of +540 | Loss | −25.75% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 30, 4:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ ATH | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+289) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +289 to a fair close of +295 | Loss | −1.59% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 2:21 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCIN @ CHC | S. Suzuki over 0.5 HR (+400) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +400 to a fair close of +559 | Win | −24.07% | +4.00u |
| Thu Aug 27, 2:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ STL | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+398) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +398 to a fair close of +543 | Loss | −22.55% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 26, 7:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ STL | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+370) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +370 to a fair close of +514 | Win | −23.50% | +3.70u |
| Tue Aug 25, 7:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ TOR | B. Witt Jr. over 0.5 HR (+375) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +375 to a fair close of +550 | Loss | −26.95% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 24, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ ARI | P. Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 HR (+280) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +280 to a fair close of +375 | Loss | −19.97% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 23, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SEA | A. Bregman over 0.5 HR (+750) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +750 to a fair close of +947 | Loss | −18.79% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIN @ SD | J. Merrill over 0.5 HR (+525) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +525 to a fair close of +888 | Win | −36.72% | +5.25u |
| Fri Aug 21, 10:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SEA | P. Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 HR (+282) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +282 to a fair close of +415 | Win | −25.89% | +2.82u |
| Thu Aug 20, 6:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ BAL | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+386) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +386 to a fair close of +479 | Loss | −16.10% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 17, 6:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ TB | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+425) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +425 to a fair close of +615 | Win | −26.59% | +4.25u |
| Sat Aug 15, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTEX @ ATH | C. Seager over 0.5 HR (+310) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +310 to a fair close of +449 | Loss | −25.27% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 14, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ TOR | T. Grisham over 0.5 HR (+460) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +460 to a fair close of +600 | Win | −19.95% | +4.60u |
| Fri Aug 14, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ TB | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+336) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +336 to a fair close of +460 | Loss | −22.09% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 13, 3:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ TOR | W. Abreu over 0.5 HR (+275) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +275 to a fair close of +406 | Loss | −25.93% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 12, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ LAD | S. Ohtani over 0.5 HR (+240) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +240 to a fair close of +309 | Win | −16.78% | +2.40u |
| Wed Aug 12, 3:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ ARI | H. Goodman over 0.5 HR (+405) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +405 to a fair close of +511 | Loss | −17.36% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 12, 3:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ ATH | T. Soderstrom over 0.5 HR (+479) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +479 to a fair close of +630 | Loss | −20.70% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 11, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ MIN | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+285) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +285 to a fair close of +370 | Win | −18.11% | +2.85u |
| Tue Aug 11, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ NYY | T. Grisham over 0.5 HR (+346) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +346 to a fair close of +391 | Loss | −9.09% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 11, 6:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ WSH | P. Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 HR (+332) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +332 to a fair close of +375 | Win | −9.02% | +3.32u |
| Sun Aug 9, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ PHI | B. Harper over 0.5 HR (+350) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +350 to a fair close of +466 | Loss | −20.51% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 7, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ TEX | P. Alonso over 0.5 HR (+410) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +410 to a fair close of +578 | Loss | −24.83% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 6, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ BOS | W. Abreu over 0.5 HR (+305) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +305 to a fair close of +419 | Loss | −22.01% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 3, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPIT @ MIL | E. Valdez over 0.5 HR (+385) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +385 to a fair close of +562 | Loss | −26.72% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 2, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBWSH @ ATL | J. Wood over 0.5 HR (+320) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +320 to a fair close of +431 | Loss | −20.86% | −1.00u |
All 44 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.