Greedo PlaysLosing to the close
49 graded picks, first post Feb 9, 2026, latest Sep 19, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−9.75u
49 priced picks
ROI
−19.9%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
21-28-0
Win rate 42.9%
CLV
−3.90%
95% interval −5.90% to −1.49%
Beat the fair close
16.3%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 30 | 11-19-0 | −31.0% | −3.96% | 20.0% | Not yet |
| MLB | 16 | 9-7-0 | +5.4% | −3.31% | 12.5% | Unranked |
| NFL | 3 | 1-2-0 | −44.4% | −6.42% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 26 | 10-16-0 | −29.9% | −4.64% | 11.5% | Losing to the close |
| Moneyline | 21 | 9-12-0 | −18.6% | −2.47% | 23.8% | Losing to the close |
| Spread | 2 | 2-0-0 | +96.6% | −9.26% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ ATL | CAR ML −150 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −127 | Win | −6.86% | +0.67u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | DET ML +204 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +204 to a fair close of +227 | Loss | −6.91% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ TEN | TEN ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −5.48% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 12:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ TOR | CHW ML −115 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −2.50% | +0.87u |
| Sun Jul 12, 12:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ PIT | P. Skenes over 6.5 Ks (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 to a fair close of −128 | Win | −1.32% | +0.76u |
| Sun Jul 5, 1:01 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPIT @ WSH | WSH ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −135 | Loss | −0.08% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 3, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSTL @ CHC | CHC ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −119 | Loss | −3.83% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 1, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTEX @ CLE | CLE ML −110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −114 | Win | +1.51% | +0.91u |
| Mon Jun 29, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPIT @ PHI | B. Harper over 1.5 H+R+RBI (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −121 | Win | −0.36% | +0.82u |
| Sun Jun 28, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBWSH @ BAL | L. Garcia Jr. over 1.5 H+R+RBI (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −8.34% | +0.83u |
| Sun Jun 21, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ MIA | SF ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −128 | Loss | −2.22% | −1.00u |
| Mon Jun 15, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ PHI | B. Marsh over 1.5 H+R+RBI (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −111 | Win | −8.49% | +0.74u |
| Wed Jun 10, 8:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ NY | J. Brunson over 26.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −124 | Win | +1.47% | +0.83u |
| Mon Jun 8, 8:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ NY | V. Wembanyama under 27.5 pts (−131) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −131 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −13.88% | −1.00u |
| Sun May 31, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ WSH | WSH ML +111 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +111 to a fair close of +103 | Win | +3.97% | +1.11u |
| Sat May 30, 4:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ WSH | WSH ML +106 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +106 to a fair close of +117 | Win | −4.88% | +1.06u |
| Sun May 17, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ PIT | PIT ML −139 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −139 to a fair close of −119 | Loss | −6.72% | −1.00u |
| Mon May 11, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADET @ CLE | D. Mitchell over 26.5 pts (−121) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −121 to a fair close of −103 | Win | −7.41% | +0.83u |
| Sun May 10, 3:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ PHI | J. Hart under 12.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of +108 | Loss | −14.82% | −1.00u |
| Sun May 10, 12:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBWSH @ MIA | WSH ML +115 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +115 to a fair close of +120 | Loss | −2.09% | −1.00u |
| Sat May 9, 3:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADET @ CLE | D. Mitchell over 25.5 pts (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −130 | Win | +1.60% | +0.80u |
| Fri May 8, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ PHI | T. Maxey over 24.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −127 | Loss | −0.95% | −1.00u |
| Thu May 7, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACLE @ DET | M. Strus over 9.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −4.50% | −1.00u |
| Wed May 6, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHI @ NY | J. Brunson over 26.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −103 | Loss | −7.06% | −1.00u |
| Tue May 5, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACLE @ DET | T. Harris over 1.5 3PM (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +124 | Loss | −6.23% | −1.00u |
| Mon May 4, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHI @ NY | P. George over 2.5 3PM (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +130 | Win | −11.00% | +1.05u |
| Sun May 3, 3:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAORL @ DET | D. Bane over 18.5 pts (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −110 | Loss | −5.62% | −1.00u |
| Sun May 3, 12:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ MIN | TOR ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −3.33% | −1.00u |
| Sat May 2, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHI @ BOS | P. Pritchard over 12.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −345 | Win | +37.16% | +0.77u |
| Sat May 2, 2:21 PM ETReconstructed | MLBARI @ CHC | I. Vargas over 1.5 H+R+RBI (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +118 | Loss | −8.42% | −1.00u |
| Fri May 1, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADET @ ORL | J. Suggs over 13.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −130 | Loss | −0.15% | −1.00u |
| Thu Apr 30, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ ATL | ATL ML +125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +126 | Loss | −0.29% | −1.00u |
| Thu Apr 30, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ ATL | M. Bridges under 8.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −10.24% | −1.00u |
| Wed Apr 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAORL @ DET | D. Robinson under 9.5 pts (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of +127 | Loss | −15.60% | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 28, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHI @ BOS | P. Pritchard over 13.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −110 | Loss | −7.24% | −1.00u |
| Mon Apr 27, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADET @ ORL | ORL +2.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +127 | Win | −13.86% | +0.95u |
| Sat Apr 25, 1:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADET @ ORL | ORL ML +119 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +119 to a fair close of +116 | Win | +1.60% | +1.19u |
| Thu Apr 23, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ ATL | M. Bridges under 12.5 pts (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −12.09% | +0.80u |
| Wed Apr 22, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAORL @ DET | P. Banchero over 20.5 pts (−126) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −126 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −5.54% | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 21, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHI @ BOS | P. Pritchard over 13.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −112 | Loss | −3.23% | −1.00u |
| Fri Apr 17, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ ORL | C. White over 13.5 pts (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −4.20% | −1.00u |
| Sun Apr 12, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ BAL | BAL ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −114 | Win | −5.93% | +0.77u |
| Sun Apr 5, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ MIN | CHA ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −165 | Win | +10.09% | +0.77u |
| Sat Apr 4, 3:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ DEN | J. Murray over 24.5 pts (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −4.14% | −1.00u |
| Fri Apr 3, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAMIN @ PHI | PHI ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −148 | Win | +3.87% | +0.74u |
| Tue Mar 31, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHX @ ORL | PHX ML +110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +116 | Loss | −2.80% | −1.00u |
| Mon Mar 30, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHI @ MIA | PHI ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −124 | Loss | −2.01% | −1.00u |
| Sun Feb 22, 1:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACLE @ OKC | OKC +3.5 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +108 | Win | −4.66% | +0.98u |
| Sat Feb 21, 5:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAORL @ PHX | ORL ML +105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +147 | Loss | −16.98% | −1.00u |
All 49 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.