@kellyinvegasUnranked
5 graded picks, first post Aug 2, 2026, latest Sep 21, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+3.42u
5 priced picks
ROI
+68.4%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
4-1-0
Win rate 80.0%
CLV
−2.56%
95% interval −4.62% to +0.35%
Beat the fair close
20.0%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 4 | 3-1-0 | +40.5% | −2.23% | 25.0% | Unranked |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1-0-0 | +180.0% | −3.90% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 2 | 1-1-0 | +40.0% | −0.45% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Spread | 2 | 2-0-0 | +88.5% | −3.63% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 1 | 1-0-0 | +84.8% | −4.65% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | LAR −6.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −2.30% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | WSH/DAL Over 50.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −107 | Win | −4.65% | +0.85u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | DEN ML +122 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +122 to a fair close of +116 | Loss | +3.00% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFOU @ MICH | MICH ML +180 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +180 to a fair close of +191 | Win | −3.90% | +1.80u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | SF +4 (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −4.95% | +0.90u |
All 5 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.