YouTube · 19 graded picks
Kyle KirmsUnranked
First post Oct 1, 2025, latest Oct 6, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Net units (1u flat)
−4.08u
18 priced picks
ROI
−22.7%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
8-11-0
Win rate 42.1%
CLV
−2.91%
95% interval −5.02% to −0.75%
Beat fair close
27.8%
Share of priced picks that beat the fair close
Open picks are for members
Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 16 | 7-9-0 | −19.0% | −3.34% | 26.7% | Unranked |
| MLB | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −0.97% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| NBA | 1 | 1-0-0 | +76.9% | +1.89% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| NFL | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −3.16% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 10 | 5-5-0 | +1.1% | −2.89% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 6 | 1-5-0 | −77.0% | −2.08% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Total | 3 | 2-1-0 | +14.8% | −4.60% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 8:00 PM ETLive | NCAAF | USM +10.5 (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · USM @ TROY | unpriced | Loss | No closing price for this market | Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units |
| Sep 7, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | FSU +3.5 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · SMU @ FSU | −135 to a fair close of −126 | Win | −2.91% | +0.74u |
| Aug 11, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLB | PIT ML −104 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PIT @ MIA | −104 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −0.97% | −1.00u |
| Dec 25, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFL | DAL −8.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DAL @ WSH | −112 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −3.16% | −1.00u |
| Dec 25, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NBA | CLE +6.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CLE @ NY | −130 to a fair close of −136 | Win | +1.89% | +0.77u |
| Dec 13, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | NAVY −6.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · ARMY @ NAVY | −115 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −6.97% | −1.00u |
| Dec 13, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | NAVY ML −265 (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · ARMY @ NAVY | −265 to a fair close of −244 | Win | −2.26% | +0.38u |
| Nov 27, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | MEM −3.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · NAVY @ MEM | −115 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −6.97% | −1.00u |
| Nov 21, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | FSU/NCSU Over 59.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · FSU @ NCSU | −110 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −6.76% | −1.00u |
| Nov 5, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | BALL −2.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · KENT @ BALL | −110 to a fair close of −117 | Win | +3.11% | +0.91u |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | RICE +14 (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · MEM @ RICE | −113 to a fair close of +106 | Loss | −8.67% | −1.00u |
| Oct 22, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | MTSU/DEL Over 52.5 (−148) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · MTSU @ DEL | −148 to a fair close of −132 | Win | −4.67% | +0.68u |
| Oct 18, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | UK +13.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · TEX @ UK | −115 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −4.35% | +0.87u |
| Oct 16, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | TLSA/ECU Over 52.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · TLSA @ ECU | −130 to a fair close of −123 | Win | −2.36% | +0.77u |
| Oct 10, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | FRES ML −235 (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · FRES @ CSU | −235 to a fair close of −197 | Loss | −5.52% | −1.00u |
| Oct 10, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | UNT ML −114 (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · USF @ UNT | −114 to a fair close of −131 | Loss | +6.36% | −1.00u |
| Oct 9, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | KENN +6.5 (−124) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · LT @ KENN | −124 to a fair close of −130 | Win | +1.99% | +0.81u |
| Oct 8, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | MTSU ML +109 (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · MOST @ MTSU | +109 to a fair close of +140 | Loss | −12.87% | −1.00u |
| Oct 2, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAF | SHSU ML −115 (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · SHSU @ NMSU | −115 to a fair close of −122 | Loss | +2.78% | −1.00u |
1 pick was tracked live; 18 were reconstructed from the original public posts, at the time and price they were posted. Each row is labeled. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.
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