Land Your BetsLosing to the close
114 graded picks, first post Oct 1, 2025, latest Sep 17, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−17.91u
97 priced picks
ROI
−18.5%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
51-63-0
Win rate 44.7%
CLV
−4.60%
95% interval −5.91% to −3.27%
Beat the fair close
15.8%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 102 | 46-56-0 | −18.6% | −3.85% | 15.4% | Losing to the close |
| NBA | 12 | 5-7-0 | −17.4% | −9.02% | 18.2% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 77 | 35-42-0 | −17.9% | −5.98% | 15.4% | Losing to the close |
| Spread | 15 | 8-7-0 | +2.6% | −4.48% | 6.7% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 12 | 2-10-0 | −71.1% | −0.35% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Total | 9 | 5-4-0 | +3.6% | −4.61% | 11.1% | Unranked |
| Team total | 1 | 1-0-0 | +64.1% | −3.45% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | J. Goff under 270.5 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | SF +3.5 (−107) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −107 to a fair close of +104 | Win | −5.13% | +0.93u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | C. McCaffrey over 4.5 rec (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −122 | Win | −0.91% | +0.80u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | D. Samuel over 29.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −6.77% | +0.88u |
| Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ NE | K. Walker under 73.5 rush yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ NE | SEA/NE 1H Under 23.5 (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −135 | Win | −1.43% | +0.71u |
| Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ NE | SEA/NE Under 45.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −2.33% | +0.91u |
| Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ NE | NE +7.5 (−195) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −195 to a fair close of −164 | Loss | −5.95% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | D. Maye under 30.5 rush yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −5.78% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | M. Mims Jr. over 22.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | M. Mims Jr. over 2.5 rec (−148) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −148 to a fair close of −120 | Win | −8.73% | +0.68u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | J. Stidham under 0.5 INTs (+150) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +150 to a fair close of +166 | Loss | −5.93% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | DEN ML +184 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +184 to a fair close of +188 | Loss | −1.45% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jan 17, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ DEN | R. Harvey under 78.5 rush+rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sat Jan 17, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ DEN | D. Knox over 21.5 rec yds (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −103 | Win | −6.70% | +0.84u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | C. Stroud under 230.5 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | J. Warren under 52.5 rush yds (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −9.02% | +0.82u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | P. Freiermuth over 31.5 rec yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −5.75% | −1.00u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | PIT +3.5 (−141) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −141 to a fair close of −133 | Loss | −2.51% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 11, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ PHI | SF +6 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −106 | Win | −1.57% | +0.91u |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | BUF/JAX Under 51.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −4.16% | +0.93u |
| Sat Jan 10, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ CAR | K. Williams anytime TD (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −13.49% | +0.71u |
| Sat Jan 10, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ CAR | B. Young over 4.5 rush att (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 4, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ PIT | Z. Flowers over 59.5 rec yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 | Win | n/a | +0.80u |
| Sun Jan 4, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ PIT | BAL ML −207 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −207 to a fair close of −216 | Loss | +1.42% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 4, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ CHI | D. Moore over 34.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −2.47% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 4, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ CHI | CHI ML −174 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −174 to a fair close of −163 | Loss | −2.33% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 4, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCLE @ CIN | CIN ML −385 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −385 to a fair close of −388 | Loss | +0.18% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | B. Corum anytime TD (+140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +140 to a fair close of +166 | Loss | −9.93% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | B. Corum over 44.5 rush yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −119 | Loss | −0.23% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | P. Nacua over 105 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 28, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ BUF | J. Cook over 12.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −3.95% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 28, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ BUF | BUF ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −162 | Loss | +13.27% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 28, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLJAX @ IND | B. Thomas Jr. over 44.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 28, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLJAX @ IND | IND ML +210 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +210 to a fair close of +198 | Loss | +3.89% | −1.00u |
| Thu Dec 25, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ MIN | MIN +7 (−101) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −101 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −2.80% | +0.99u |
| Thu Dec 25, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDAL @ WSH | DAL/WSH Under 50.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −3.31% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | C. McCaffrey over 59.5 rush yds (−129) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −129 to a fair close of −118 | Win | −3.96% | +0.78u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | P. Rivers over 0.5 INTs (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −4.22% | +0.83u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | T. Warren over 33 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ NYG | MIN −2.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −7.18% | +0.85u |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTB @ CAR | M. Evans over 4.5 rec (+125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of −116 | Win | +20.68% | +1.25u |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ MIA | D. Achane over 17.5 rush att (+106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +106 to a fair close of +134 | Loss | −11.80% | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ CHI | GB/CHI Over 46.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +125 | Loss | −15.01% | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ WSH | WSH +6.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +119 | Loss | −12.08% | −1.00u |
| Thu Dec 18, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | SEA ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −2.93% | +0.80u |
| Mon Dec 15, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIA @ PIT | J. Wright over 17.5 rush yds (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −4.95% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 15, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIA @ PIT | P. Freiermuth over 14.5 rec yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 | Win | n/a | +0.83u |
| Mon Dec 15, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIA @ PIT | MIA ML +145 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +145 to a fair close of +171 | Loss | −9.71% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ NYG | T. Johnson over 32.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
All 114 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.