u/Mr_GooodkatLosing to the close
68 graded picks, first post Jul 1, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−17.61u
68 priced picks
ROI
−25.9%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
25-40-3
Win rate 38.5%
CLV
−2.95%
95% interval −4.00% to −1.88%
Beat the fair close
16.7%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 62 | 24-35-3 | −21.8% | −2.88% | 17.7% | Losing to the close |
| NFL | 4 | 1-3-0 | −53.1% | −4.93% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Soccer | 2 | 0-2-0 | −100.0% | −3.11% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 58 | 23-32-3 | −19.6% | −2.52% | 19.0% | Losing to the close |
| Player props | 5 | 1-4-0 | −62.5% | −7.18% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 4 | 1-3-0 | −53.6% | −5.43% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Spread | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −5.24% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Sep 30, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SD | CHC ML +124 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +124 to a fair close of +132 | Loss | −3.54% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ NYY | BOS/NYY Under 6 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −1.45% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | D. Wicks over 42.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.14% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 3:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ PHI | TB/PHI Under 7 (−103) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −103 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −1.46% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIA | ATL/MIA Under 8.5 (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −7.34% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 25, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ NYY | BAL/NYY Over 6.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −115 | Win | −2.51% | +0.82u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | J. Love over 229.5 pass yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 | Win | n/a | +0.88u |
| Wed Sep 23, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ CHC | MIA/CHC Over 6.5 (−121) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −121 to a fair close of −113 | Loss | −3.12% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 22, 6:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ BOS | CLE/BOS Over 6.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +116 | Loss | −11.52% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | C. Skattebo over 53.5 rush yds (−121) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −121 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 10:15 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerAtlético vs Real Madrid | Real Madrid ML +103 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +103 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −0.99% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ TEX | BOS/TEX Under 8 (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −106 | Win | −4.61% | +0.85u |
| Wed Sep 16, 8:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ TEX | BOS/TEX Over 8 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −4.13% | +0.92u |
| Tue Sep 15, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerElche vs Real Madrid | Real Madrid −2 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −5.24% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ CLE | CHW/CLE Under 7 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −4.77% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ STL | CHW/STL Under 8.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −3.00% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 11, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ ATL | PHI/ATL Under 7 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −2.38% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | K. Williams over 12.5 rush att (−127) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −127 to a fair close of −117 | Loss | −3.72% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ ATL | TB/ATL Under 8 (−103) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −103 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −3.10% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 8, 6:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ BAL | CLE/BAL Under 8.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −127 | Loss | +5.08% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 7, 3:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIN @ DET | MIN/DET Under 8 (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −4.27% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 4:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ SD | NYY/SD Under 7 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −110 | Push | +0.19% | 0.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ SD | NYY/SD Under 7.5 (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −104 to a fair close of +103 | Win | −3.33% | +0.96u |
| Fri Sep 4, 2:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ CLE | DET/CLE Under 8 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −3.97% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 3, 8:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ TEX | TB/TEX Under 8 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −108 | Win | −2.75% | +0.87u |
| Wed Sep 2, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ CLE | TOR/CLE Under 7.5 (−124) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −124 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −4.78% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 1, 9:39 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ LAA | NYY/LAA Under 7.5 (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −1.56% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 31, 9:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ LAA | NYY/LAA Under 8 (−103) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −103 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | +0.90% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 30, 2:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPIT @ STL | PIT ML −117 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −0.17% | +0.85u |
| Sat Aug 29, 1:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ NYY | BOS/NYY Under 8 (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of −120 | Win | +1.38% | +0.86u |
| Fri Aug 28, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ TOR | SEA/TOR Under 7 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −5.86% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 26, 7:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ TOR | KC/TOR Under 8.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −0.52% | +0.95u |
| Tue Aug 25, 9:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ LAA | CLE/LAA Under 7 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −2.12% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 24, 9:39 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ LAA | CLE/LAA Under 7.5 (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of −110 | Win | −0.24% | +0.90u |
| Sun Aug 23, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ NYY | TOR/NYY Under 8 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −13.23% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 21, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ NYY | TOR/NYY Under 7 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −0.51% | +0.94u |
| Thu Aug 20, 6:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ BAL | NYY/BAL Under 7.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of −109 | Win | +0.19% | +0.92u |
| Wed Aug 19, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ CLE | SF/CLE Under 7 (+103) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +103 to a fair close of +115 | Win | −5.52% | +1.03u |
| Tue Aug 18, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ MIL | SEA/MIL Under 7.5 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −4.69% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 17, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATH @ KC | M. Wacha over 4.5 Ks (+102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +102 to a fair close of +129 | Loss | −11.67% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 16, 1:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ TOR | NYY/TOR Under 7.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −149 | Win | +9.71% | +0.83u |
| Sat Aug 15, 3:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ TOR | NYY/TOR Under 7.5 (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −118 | Win | +0.48% | +0.85u |
| Wed Aug 12, 7:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ NYY | SEA/NYY Under 8.5 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | +1.14% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 11, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ NYY | SEA/NYY Under 8 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +103 | Win | −7.86% | +0.87u |
| Sat Aug 8, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAA @ MIA | LAA/MIA Under 7 (+104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +104 to a fair close of +110 | Push | −2.74% | 0.00u |
| Fri Aug 7, 9:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ SEA | TB/SEA Under 7 (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −0.05% | +0.85u |
| Thu Aug 6, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ CLE | NYM/CLE Under 7.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of −138 | Loss | +11.03% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 5, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ CLE | NYM/CLE Under 8 (−121) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −121 to a fair close of −120 | Loss | −0.56% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 4, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ SEA | DET/SEA Under 8 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of −109 | Push | −0.02% | 0.00u |
| Sun Aug 2, 3:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ LAA | MIL/LAA Under 7.5 (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −104 to a fair close of −112 | Win | +3.61% | +0.96u |
All 68 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.