@parlayscienceNot yet
51 graded picks, first post Aug 2, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−6.92u
50 priced picks
ROI
−13.8%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
24-27-0
Win rate 47.1%
CLV
−3.20%
95% interval −5.68% to +0.10%
Beat the fair close
22.2%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 39 | 17-22-0 | −23.5% | −7.26% | 4.2% | Losing to the close |
| MLB | 11 | 7-4-0 | +27.3% | +4.04% | 54.5% | Unranked |
| NCAAF | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | +14.64% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 43 | 21-22-0 | −13.4% | −5.90% | 10.7% | Losing to the close |
| Moneyline | 8 | 3-5-0 | −16.0% | +6.28% | 62.5% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Sep 30, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SD | CHC ML +120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +132 | Loss | −5.26% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 30, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ NYY | BOS ML +135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +135 to a fair close of +124 | Loss | +4.85% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 30, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | CHW ML +120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +138 | Win | −7.48% | +1.20u |
| Wed Sep 30, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ ATL | PHI ML +130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +130 to a fair close of −103 | Win | +16.67% | +1.30u |
| Tue Sep 29, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SD | SD ML +122 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +122 to a fair close of −125 | Win | +23.40% | +1.22u |
| Tue Sep 29, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | HOU ML +104 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +104 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | +8.47% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | L. Burden III over 34.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −8.62% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | Z. Flowers over 69.5 rec yds (−128) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −128 | Win | n/a | +0.78u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | C. Lamb anytime TD (+115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +115 to a fair close of +138 | Loss | −9.57% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | D. Henry anytime TD (−235) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −235 to a fair close of −211 | Win | −3.31% | +0.43u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ SF | B. Purdy over 235.5 pass yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −114 | Win | +1.60% | +0.91u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ SF | T. McBride anytime TD (+178) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +178 to a fair close of +210 | Loss | −10.26% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | J. Cook over 79.5 rush yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −9.16% | +0.80u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | J. Allen over 235.5 pass yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ JAX | D. Maye over 210.5 pass yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ DET | J. Goff over 249.5 pass yds (−144) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −144 | Win | n/a | +0.69u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ DET | A. St. Brown anytime TD (−123) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −123 to a fair close of −110 | Win | −4.94% | +0.81u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | B. Robinson over 75.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ KC | J. Taylor anytime TD (−153) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −153 to a fair close of −128 | Win | −7.31% | +0.65u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | G. Pickens over 59.5 rec yds (−133) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −133 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | C. Lamb over 74.5 rec yds (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 | Win | n/a | +0.84u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIA @ SF | D. Achane over 49.5 rush yds (−164) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −164 | Win | n/a | +0.61u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | D. Prescott over 249.5 pass yds (−174) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −174 | Win | n/a | +0.57u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | G. Pickens anytime TD (+135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +135 to a fair close of +143 | Loss | −3.45% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ ARI | T. McBride anytime TD (+188) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +188 to a fair close of +200 | Win | −3.99% | +1.88u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLJAX @ DEN | T. Lawrence over 218.5 pass yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ ATL | B. Robinson over 79.5 rush yds (−143) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −143 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ CHI | C. Williams over 219.5 pass yds (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ BAL | D. Henry anytime TD (−290) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −290 to a fair close of −174 | Win | −14.66% | +0.34u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFLSU @ MISS | LSU ML +102 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +102 to a fair close of −131 | Loss | +14.64% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | DET ML +210 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +210 to a fair close of +227 | Loss | −5.07% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | A. St. Brown over 78.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 | Win | n/a | +0.88u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | J. Allen over 250.5 pass yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −6.81% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | P. Mahomes over 224.5 pass yds (−121) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −121 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −8.68% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | R. Rice anytime TD (+151) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +151 to a fair close of +180 | Win | −10.31% | +1.51u |
| Sun Sep 13, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDAL @ NYG | C. Lamb over 74.5 rec yds (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −9.06% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIA @ LV | D. Achane over 65.5 rush yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTB @ CIN | J. Chase over 85.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.14% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ DET | J. Goff over 249.5 pass yds (−156) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −156 to a fair close of −127 | Loss | −8.13% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ IND | J. Taylor anytime TD (−200) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −200 to a fair close of −156 | Win | −8.55% | +0.50u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | P. Nacua over 89.5 rec yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −3.94% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | K. Williams over 55.5 rush yds (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −5.59% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | M. Stafford over 259.5 pass yds (−139) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −139 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −14.03% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | C. McCaffrey anytime TD (−155) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −155 to a fair close of −130 | Loss | −6.99% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | D. Adams anytime TD (+125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +142 | Loss | −7.17% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | D. Maye over 224.5 pass yds (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 3, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ BAL | R. Anthony over 1.5 H+R+RBI (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −132 | Win | −0.84% | +0.74u |
| Tue Sep 1, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ TB | J. Caminero over 1.5 H+R+RBI (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −3.04% | +0.80u |
| Tue Aug 11, 7:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ TOR | D. Cease over 7.5 Ks (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −132 | Loss | +2.51% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 9, 2:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIN @ MIL | J. Misiorowski over 8.5 Ks (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −111 | Win | −1.52% | +0.87u |
All 51 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.