@peterappel23Not yet
28 graded picks, first post Oct 4, 2025, latest Sep 29, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−2.69u
27 priced picks
ROI
−10.0%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
12-15-1
Win rate 44.4%
CLV
+0.57%
95% interval −1.56% to +3.04%
Beat the fair close
45.5%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 21 | 7-13-1 | −26.7% | −0.83% | 46.7% | Not yet |
| NCAAF | 6 | 5-1-0 | +60.9% | +4.38% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| MLB | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −1.39% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 13 | 4-9-0 | −31.0% | −4.34% | 14.3% | Unranked |
| Total | 8 | 6-2-0 | +44.4% | +4.91% | 62.5% | Unranked |
| Spread | 4 | 1-2-1 | −27.5% | +1.60% | 75.0% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 3 | 1-2-0 | −47.6% | −0.95% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Sep 29, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | HOU ML −117 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −1.39% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | CHI +4.5 (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of −125 | Win | +5.47% | +0.90u |
| Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ KC | T. Thornton over 19.5 rec yds (+134) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +134 | Win | n/a | +1.34u |
| Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ KC | A. Pierce anytime TD (+350) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +350 to a fair close of +345 | Loss | +1.03% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | J. Daniels over 200.5 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | J. Daniels over 224.5 pass yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −3.60% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | T. McLaurin anytime TD (+220) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +220 to a fair close of +222 | Loss | −0.53% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLJAX @ DEN | JAX ML +138 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +138 to a fair close of +133 | Loss | +2.04% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ CHI | C. Loveland anytime TD (+185) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +185 to a fair close of +212 | Loss | −8.61% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ NE | A. Rodgers over 0.5 rush yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −2.33% | +0.91u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ CHI | MIN/CHI Under 48.5 (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of −134 | Win | +8.77% | +0.90u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ NYJ | GB −3 (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −101 | Push | −6.82% | 0.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | DEN +2 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | +0.44% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | J. Jennings over 22.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | J. Jennings over 2.5 rec (+145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +145 to a fair close of +164 | Loss | −7.34% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTB @ CIN | TB/CIN Under 51.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −123 | Loss | +4.24% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ TEN | T. Spears over 5.5 rush att (−250) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −250 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ TEN | T. Spears over 17.5 rush yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTB @ CIN | A. Iosivas over 1.5 rec (+108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +108 to a fair close of +129 | Win | −9.00% | +1.08u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ TEN | G. Smith over 5.5 rush yds (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 | Win | n/a | +0.95u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ IND | IND +3.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −135 | Loss | +7.32% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | SEA ML −175 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −175 to a fair close of −159 | Win | −3.50% | +0.57u |
| Sat Sep 5, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUNLV @ HAW | UNLV/HAW Under 57.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of −128 | Win | +8.15% | +0.93u |
| Sat Sep 5, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMOST @ TA&M | MOST/TA&M Over 53.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −3.70% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFBAY @ AUB | BAY/AUB Under 61.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −137 | Win | +10.43% | +0.91u |
| Fri Sep 4, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUTEP @ OU | UTEP/OU Over 50.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −2.33% | +0.91u |
| Sat Aug 29, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMEM @ UNLV | MEM/UNLV Under 59.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −149 | Win | +14.17% | +0.91u |
| Sat Aug 29, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFHAW @ STAN | HAW/STAN Over 48.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −0.47% | +1.00u |
All 28 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.