Reddit · 4 graded picks

u/placepositionUnranked

First post Sep 10, 2026, latest Sep 15, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/placeposition (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−0.54u

4 priced picks

ROI

−13.6%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

2-2-0

Win rate 50.0%

CLV

−4.22%

95% interval −7.57% to −0.86%

Beat fair close

25.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −0.54u, peak +1.46u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	2	0-2-0	−100.0%	−6.72%	0.0%	Unranked
NFL	2	2-0-0	+72.9%	−1.71%	50.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Total	2	1-1-0	−6.5%	−4.22%	50.0%	Unranked
Moneyline	1	1-0-0	+58.8%	−3.82%	0.0%	Unranked
Player props	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−4.61%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

4 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/placeposition: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sep 15, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	BOS/TEX Over 8 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · BOS @ TEX	−110 to a fair close of +109	Loss	−8.83%	−1.00u
Sep 14, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	C. Mize over 3.5 Ks (−150) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ COL	−150 to a fair close of −134	Loss	−4.61%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	LV ML −170 (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · MIA @ LV	−170 to a fair close of −154	Win	−3.82%	+0.59u
Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	SF/LAR Under 48.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · SF @ LAR	−115 to a fair close of −116	Win	+0.39%	+0.87u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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