Reddit · 3 graded picks

u/redstag0403Unranked

First post Sep 13, 2026, latest Sep 16, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/redstag0403 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

+2.08u

3 priced picks

ROI

+69.3%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

3-0-0

Win rate 100.0%

CLV

−0.65%

95% interval −3.19% to +3.00%

Beat fair close

33.3%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +2.08u, peak +2.08u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	2	2-0-0	+63.9%	−2.47%	0.0%	Unranked
NFL	1	1-0-0	+80.0%	+3.00%	100.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	3	3-0-0	+69.3%	−0.65%	33.3%	Unranked

Graded picks

3 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/redstag0403: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sep 16, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CLE ML −160 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ CLE	−160 to a fair close of −147	Win	−3.19%	+0.63u
Sep 15, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	HOU ML −153 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · KC @ HOU	−153 to a fair close of −146	Win	−1.76%	+0.65u
Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	MIN ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · GB @ MIN	−125 to a fair close of −134	Win	+3.00%	+0.80u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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