The Hooded Sharp

X · 5 graded picks

@rob__paulUnranked

First post Aug 2, 2026, latest Oct 4, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Net units (1u flat)

−2.04u

4 priced picks

ROI

−51.0%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

1-4-0

Win rate 20.0%

CLV

−3.12%

95% interval −4.39% to −1.90%

Beat fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −2.04u, peak +0.96u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NCAAF41-3-0−51.0%−3.12%0.0%Unranked
NFL10-1-0No priced picks yetNo picks with a fair close yetNo picks with a fair close yetUnranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Spread31-2-0−34.6%−3.15%0.0%Unranked
Moneyline10-1-0−100.0%−3.05%0.0%Unranked
Player props10-1-0No priced picks yetNo picks with a fair close yetNo picks with a fair close yetUnranked

Graded picks

5 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

@rob__paul: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Oct 4, 8:20 PM ETLiveNFLA. St. Brown anytime TD (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ CARunpricedLossNo closing price for this marketUnpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFLSU −2.5 (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · LSU @ MISS−117 to a fair close of −106Loss−4.39%−1.00u
Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFOU ML −210 (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · OU @ MICH−210 to a fair close of −191Loss−3.05%−1.00u
Sep 11, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFKU +5.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · MIZ @ KU−122 to a fair close of −117Loss−1.90%−1.00u
Sep 5, 12:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFOSU −51 (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · BALL @ OSU−104WinNo closing price for this market+0.96u

1 pick was tracked live; 4 were reconstructed from the original public posts, at the time and price they were posted. Each row is labeled. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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