u/RyeGuy4Losing to the close
38 graded picks, first post Jul 22, 2026, latest Sep 25, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−6.23u
38 priced picks
ROI
−16.4%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
17-21-0
Win rate 44.7%
CLV
−6.25%
95% interval −8.29% to −4.50%
Beat the fair close
5.6%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 25 | 14-11-0 | +4.7% | −6.19% | 8.7% | Losing to the close |
| NCAAF | 13 | 3-10-0 | −57.0% | −6.36% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 15 | 6-9-0 | −25.9% | −4.77% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Player props | 9 | 5-4-0 | +9.8% | −8.36% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 7 | 3-4-0 | −20.3% | −4.53% | 14.3% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 4 | 0-4-0 | −100.0% | −6.49% | 25.0% | Unranked |
| Team total | 3 | 3-0-0 | +73.2% | −12.46% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Sep 25, 10:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCLEM @ CAL | CAL ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +128 | Loss | −14.25% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ KC | KC TT Over 26.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of +144 | Win | −26.35% | +0.80u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | WSH/DAL Over 50.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −107 | Win | −5.38% | +0.83u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLJAX @ DEN | P. Washington over 4.5 rec (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +102 | Win | −9.18% | +0.83u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ TEN | PHI −6.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −6.15% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCLE @ TB | CLE/TB Over 40.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −1.15% | +0.83u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ HOU | D. Schultz over 39.5 rec yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −4.22% | +0.83u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ CHI | A. Jones over 15.5 rec yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −10.00% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ BAL | L. Jackson anytime TD (+210) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +210 to a fair close of +230 | Loss | −5.92% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ BAL | M. Andrews anytime TD (+125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +158 | Loss | −12.88% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ BAL | A. Kamara over 2.5 rec (+140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +140 to a fair close of +180 | Win | −14.24% | +1.40u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ ATL | CAR −2.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −8.77% | +0.83u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | J. Jefferson over 5.5 rec (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −133 | Win | −2.10% | +0.71u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | GB/MIN Under 47.5 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −137 | Loss | +0.57% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | MIN −2 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −4.10% | +0.91u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ LAC | LAC −9 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | −3.90% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ PHI | PHI −5.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −2.33% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIA @ LV | LV −2.5 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −124 | Win | −3.77% | +0.74u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ PHI | PHI −2.5 (−189) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −189 to a fair close of −187 | Loss | −0.39% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ HOU | HOU ML +105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | +1.02% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ DET | DET −6.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −6.67% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTB @ CIN | C. Brown over 80.5 rush+rec yds (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ PIT | PIT 1H −3.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +107 | Win | −5.55% | +0.95u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ CAR | D. Waller over 19.5 rec yds (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 | Win | n/a | +1.10u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ CAR | CHI TT Over 24.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +104 | Win | −8.40% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ CAR | CHI TT Over 22.5 (−190) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −190 to a fair close of −176 | Win | −2.63% | +0.53u |
| Sat Sep 12, 10:15 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFARK @ UTAH | ARK/UTAH Over 56.5 (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +113 | Loss | −3.64% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFNAVY @ FAU | NAVY/FAU Over 59.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −4.55% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFISU @ IOWA | IOWA −13.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −3.40% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFOSU @ TEX | OSU ML +100 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +119 | Loss | −8.70% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFLT @ LSU | LSU −35.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +114 | Loss | −10.93% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTENN @ GT | TENN −12.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −5.23% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUCF @ PITT | UCF/PITT Over 57.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +121 | Loss | −13.48% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMD @ CONN | MD/CONN Over 52.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | −4.10% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFPSU @ TEM | PSU −23.5 (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −110 | Loss | −2.76% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFOU @ MICH | OU −5.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −5.43% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFWAKE @ PUR | PUR ML +120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +129 | Loss | −4.01% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFWIS @ ND | ND −20.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −124 | Win | −2.21% | +0.77u |
All 38 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.