u/SoggyDatabase2348Not yet

61 graded picks, first post Oct 28, 2025, latest May 3, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

−4.47u

61 priced picks

ROI

−7.3%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

31-30-0

Win rate 50.8%

CLV

−2.32%

95% interval −5.68% to +1.82%

Beat the fair close

29.8%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now −4.5u, peak +5.4u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NCAAB2513-12-0−6.4%−4.09%28.0%Losing to the close
NBA1610-6-0+17.2%+2.68%56.3%Unranked
NFL166-10-0−34.1%−4.05%8.3%Unranked
NCAAF22-0-0+92.3%−7.53%0.0%Unranked
NHL10-1-0−100.0%−0.95%0.0%Unranked
Soccer10-1-0−100.0%−8.41%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Player props2613-13-0−8.2%+0.76%36.4%Not yet
Spread189-9-0−7.5%−4.48%5.6%Unranked
Moneyline117-4-0+10.8%−4.43%45.5%Unranked
Total62-4-0−36.6%−3.28%50.0%Unranked

Graded picks

61 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/SoggyDatabase2348: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sun May 3, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR @ CLEC. Murray-Bowles under 15.5 P+A (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −107Win−1.12%+0.91u
Sat May 2, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBAPHI @ BOSS. Hauser over 10.5 PRA (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of −127Win+9.30%+0.95u
Sat May 2, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBAPHI @ BOSP. George over 15.5 pts (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab)−111 to a fair close of +107Loss−8.04%−1.00u
Sat May 2, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBAPHI @ BOSP. Pritchard over 15.5 P+R (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −420Win+48.10%+0.83u
Sat May 2, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBAPHI @ BOSJ. Brown over 31.5 P+R (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)−118 to a fair close of −361Win+44.67%+0.85u
Fri May 1, 9:40 PM ETReconstructedNBALAL @ HOUL. Kennard over 7.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −127Loss+2.63%−1.00u
Fri May 1, 9:40 PM ETReconstructedNBALAL @ HOUL. James under 38.5 PRA (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −120Loss+3.99%−1.00u
Fri May 1, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBACLE @ TORJ. Allen over 10.5 pts (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab)+100 to a fair close of −105Win+2.32%+1.00u
Fri May 1, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBACLE @ TORJ. Harden over 32.5 PRA (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab)−122 to a fair close of +106Win−11.46%+0.82u
Fri May 1, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNBADET @ ORLJ. Duren over 12.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −151Loss+10.43%−1.00u
Fri Mar 6, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABVCU @ DAYVCU +2 (−101) (original post, opens in a new tab)−101 to a fair close of −112Win+5.26%+0.99u
Mon Feb 23, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerEverton vs Man UnitedMan United/Everton Over 2.5 (−145) (original post, opens in a new tab)−145 to a fair close of −118Loss−8.41%−1.00u
Tue Feb 17, 11:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABTTU @ ASUTTU −2.5 (−273) (original post, opens in a new tab)−273 to a fair close of −217Loss−6.42%−1.00u
Tue Feb 17, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABGW @ VCUVCU ML −310 (original post, opens in a new tab)−310 to a fair close of −238Win−6.82%+0.32u
Mon Feb 16, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABHOU @ ISUISU ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab)−130 to a fair close of −132Win+0.57%+0.77u
Tue Feb 10, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABFOR @ JOESJOES −4.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)−118 to a fair close of +108Loss−11.21%−1.00u
Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ NES. Darnold over 1.5 pass TDs (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −107Loss−5.07%−1.00u
Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ NEK. Walker over 2.5 rec (−129) (original post, opens in a new tab)−129 to a fair close of −116Loss−4.82%−1.00u
Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ NEH. Henry over 38.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +100Loss−4.55%−1.00u
Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ NES. Darnold over 230.5 pass yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −105Loss−2.41%−1.00u
Sun Feb 8, 6:30 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ NED. Maye over 35.5 rush yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −101Win−4.11%+0.91u
Sat Feb 7, 10:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAABHOU @ BYUHOU ML −117 (original post, opens in a new tab)−117 to a fair close of −102Win−6.39%+0.85u
Wed Feb 4, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABBYU @ OKSTBYU ML −302 (original post, opens in a new tab)−302 to a fair close of −321Loss+1.51%−1.00u
Wed Feb 4, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABGW @ JOESJOES +2.5 (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab)−132 to a fair close of −125Win−2.36%+0.76u
Wed Feb 4, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABUCF @ HOUUCF +16.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)−130 to a fair close of −130Loss−0.14%−1.00u
Wed Feb 4, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABTA&M @ ALATA&M/ALA Under 180.5 (−138) (original post, opens in a new tab)−138 to a fair close of +100Loss−13.77%−1.00u
Wed Feb 4, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABMSU @ MINNMSU −6.5 (−155) (original post, opens in a new tab)−155 to a fair close of −134Loss−5.89%−1.00u
Tue Feb 3, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABSBU @ DAYSBU +8.5 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)−135 to a fair close of −130Win−1.75%+0.74u
Fri Jan 30, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABMICH @ MSUMSU +1.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)−108 to a fair close of +119Loss−12.21%−1.00u
Mon Jan 26, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABARIZ @ BYUARIZ ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab)−125 to a fair close of +100Win−10.00%+0.80u
Fri Jan 23, 5:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAABSLU @ SBUSLU −8.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)−108 to a fair close of +103Win−5.25%+0.93u
Fri Jan 16, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABBAY @ KUKU −6.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)−118 to a fair close of −117Win−0.26%+0.85u
Thu Jan 15, 2:10 PM ETReconstructedNBAMEM @ ORLMEM/ORL Under 230.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −128Win+7.27%+0.91u
Wed Jan 7, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABSLU @ VCUSLU/VCU Over 169.5 (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab)−111 to a fair close of −123Loss+4.78%−1.00u
Sun Jan 4, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLBAL @ PITBAL/PIT Under 41.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)−125 to a fair close of +102Loss−10.84%−1.00u
Sat Jan 3, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ SFSEA ML −136 (original post, opens in a new tab)−136 to a fair close of −143Win+2.08%+0.74u
Thu Jan 1, 4:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFALA @ IUIU −7 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)−112 to a fair close of −105Win−3.16%+0.89u
Fri Dec 19, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFALA @ OUALA ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of +122Win−11.89%+0.95u
Sat Dec 13, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNBASA @ OKCS. Gilgeous-Alexander over 31.5 pts (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab)−106 to a fair close of −109Loss+1.30%−1.00u
Thu Dec 11, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ TBB. Mayfield over 19.5 rush yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)−112 to a fair close of −102Loss−4.60%−1.00u
Thu Dec 11, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ TBB. Mayfield over 17.5 rush yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)−112Lossn/a−1.00u
Sat Dec 6, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABDUKE @ MSUMSU ML +105 (original post, opens in a new tab)+105 to a fair close of +105Loss+0.09%−1.00u
Wed Dec 3, 9:15 PM ETReconstructedNCAABUVA @ TEXTEX ML −148 (original post, opens in a new tab)−148 to a fair close of −152Loss+1.10%−1.00u
Fri Nov 28, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLCHI @ PHIR. Odunze over 47.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of +101Loss−6.96%−1.00u
Thu Nov 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLGB @ DETDET −1.5 (−134) (original post, opens in a new tab)−134 to a fair close of −133Loss−0.40%−1.00u
Wed Nov 26, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABSJU @ AUBSJU −5.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of +117Loss−15.46%−1.00u
Wed Nov 26, 12:00 AM ETReconstructedNCAABUNLV @ ALAALA −13.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of −107Win−3.27%+0.87u
Tue Nov 25, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAABGONZ @ MDGONZ −13.5 (−139) (original post, opens in a new tab)−139 to a fair close of −125Win−4.31%+0.72u
Tue Nov 25, 8:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAABMICH @ AUBAUB +3.5 (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab)+110 to a fair close of +125Loss−6.87%−1.00u
Mon Nov 24, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAABORE @ AUBAUB −4.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +100Win−4.55%+0.91u

All 61 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.