u/Sun_H23Losing to the close
38 graded picks, first post Jul 2, 2026, latest Sep 12, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−3.23u
38 priced picks
ROI
−8.5%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
18-19-1
Win rate 48.6%
CLV
−4.13%
95% interval −5.14% to −3.14%
Beat the fair close
7.9%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 33 | 14-18-1 | −17.6% | −4.04% | 9.1% | Losing to the close |
| NCAAF | 3 | 2-1-0 | +27.4% | −4.33% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| NFL | 2 | 2-0-0 | +87.6% | −5.26% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 13 | 7-5-1 | +7.2% | −3.61% | 7.7% | Unranked |
| Spread | 12 | 6-6-0 | −4.6% | −5.56% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 8 | 2-6-0 | −54.6% | −3.31% | 12.5% | Unranked |
| Team total | 5 | 3-2-0 | +15.0% | −3.35% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFOSU @ TEX | OSU ML +105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +119 | Loss | −6.42% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 10, 8:35 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ LAR | SF +3.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +104 | Win | −4.26% | +0.95u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | NE +3.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −6.26% | +0.80u |
| Mon Sep 7, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFSMU @ FSU | SMU −2.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −113 | Win | −0.92% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 6, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFLOU @ MISS | LOU +6.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +107 | Win | −5.65% | +0.95u |
| Thu Sep 3, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ CHC | MIL F5 −0.5 (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +130 | Loss | −8.68% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 1, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ PIT | SF/PIT F5 Under 4 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −3.94% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 31, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ CIN | SD F5 −0.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +113 | Win | −6.24% | +1.00u |
| Sun Aug 30, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ TB | SD/TB F5 Under 4 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −114 | Win | −4.13% | +0.80u |
| Sat Aug 29, 2:21 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCIN @ CHC | CHC TT Over 5.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +109 | Win | −4.46% | +1.00u |
| Fri Aug 28, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ DET | LAD −1.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −3.32% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 26, 7:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ STL | BAL ML −110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −2.23% | +0.91u |
| Tue Aug 25, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTEX @ CHW | TEX ML −115 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −103 | Loss | −5.16% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 24, 9:45 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCIN @ SF | SF TT Under 2.5 (+118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +118 to a fair close of +137 | Loss | −8.14% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ NYY | TOR/NYY Under 6.5 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −3.35% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 20, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ TB | TB F5 −0.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −5.56% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 19, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ NYM | SD F5 −0.5 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +114 | Loss | −7.65% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIN | ATL F5 −0.5 (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +120 | Loss | −6.66% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 16, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ CLE | SD ML −115 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −4.49% | +0.87u |
| Sat Aug 15, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ LAD | MIL F5 −0.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −6.52% | +0.87u |
| Tue Jul 28, 9:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ SF | MIL/SF Under 7.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | +2.06% | −1.00u |
| Mon Jul 27, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBARI @ PIT | PIT ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −107 | Win | −4.30% | +0.85u |
| Sun Jul 26, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBARI @ WSH | WSH TT Over 4.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −111 | Win | −5.16% | +0.80u |
| Fri Jul 24, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ BOS | TOR F5 ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +111 | Loss | −7.33% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 22, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSF @ KC | SF F5 ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −125 | Push | +2.56% | 0.00u |
| Tue Jul 21, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCIN @ SEA | CIN F5 ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −114 | Win | −2.16% | +0.83u |
| Sun Jul 19, 1:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ BOS | TB/BOS F5 Under 4 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +114 | Loss | −12.82% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 17, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ KC | SD/KC Under 10.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −1.24% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ SD | TOR F5 ML −115 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −3.86% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 10, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBHOU @ TEX | HOU F5 −0.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +106 | Loss | −5.02% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jul 9, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATH @ DET | DET TT Over 4.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −1.85% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 8, 3:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ SF | TOR/SF F5 Under 3.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −112 | Loss | −1.05% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jul 7, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATH @ DET | DET TT Over 4.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of −111 | Win | +2.87% | +0.95u |
| Mon Jul 6, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ TB | NYY/TB Under 7.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −115 | Win | −1.99% | +0.83u |
| Sun Jul 5, 3:31 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ TEX | DET ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −118 | Win | −0.93% | +0.83u |
| Sat Jul 4, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ SEA | TOR ML +135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +135 to a fair close of +151 | Loss | −6.35% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 3, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ SEA | TOR ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −120 | Win | −1.78% | +0.80u |
| Thu Jul 2, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ KC | TB F5 ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −107 | Win | −4.48% | +0.85u |
All 38 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.