@sweatpantjesusLosing to the close
35 graded picks, first post Aug 1, 2026, latest Sep 22, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−8.93u
35 priced picks
ROI
−25.5%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
14-21-0
Win rate 40.0%
CLV
−3.59%
95% interval −5.42% to −1.45%
Beat the fair close
18.2%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 24 | 10-14-0 | −22.4% | −3.52% | 14.3% | Losing to the close |
| NFL | 10 | 4-6-0 | −25.5% | −4.18% | 28.6% | Unranked |
| NCAAF | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −0.54% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 29 | 12-17-0 | −22.8% | −4.23% | 12.5% | Losing to the close |
| Spread | 5 | 2-3-0 | −26.6% | −2.17% | 40.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −0.54% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | BAL −2.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −132 | Win | +2.49% | +0.80u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ TB | TB +1.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | +1.01% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | LAC +7 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −2.83% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | CIN −3 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −9.22% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 22, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBALA @ LV | N. Ogwumike over 26.5 P+R (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of −100 | Loss | −2.27% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 22, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBATOR @ CHI | K. Rice over 24.5 PRA (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | +9.27% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 22, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAMIN @ IND | N. Howard over 21.5 PRA (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | J. Dart over 29.5 rush yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | LAR −6.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −2.30% | +0.87u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | J. Gibbs over 88.5 rush yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | D. Kincaid over 49.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Win | n/a | +0.87u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | G. Holani over 34.5 rush+rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +108 | Loss | −10.10% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | C. Kupp over 29.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +108 | Win | −8.30% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 5, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCLEM @ LSU | CLEM/LSU Under 49.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −0.54% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 23, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAIND @ CHI | N. Cloud over 22.5 PRA (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −6.52% | +0.87u |
| Sun Aug 23, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAWSH @ POR | M. DiLeo over 17.5 P+R (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 | Win | n/a | +0.83u |
| Sat Aug 22, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAATL @ PHX | J. Canada over 22.5 PRA (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −3.47% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAIND @ NY | K. Mitchell over 24.5 pts (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −116 | Win | −3.35% | +0.80u |
| Fri Aug 21, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAPOR @ TOR | C. Leite over 24.5 P+A (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 21, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAMIN @ WSH | S. Citron over 24.5 PRA (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −3.03% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 21, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAGS @ CHI | N. Cloud over 18.5 PRA (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −2.55% | +0.87u |
| Thu Aug 20, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAATL @ LA | A. Reese over 28.5 P+R (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 | Win | n/a | +0.83u |
| Thu Aug 20, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAATL @ LA | R. Burrell over 18.5 P+A (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +108 | Loss | −10.06% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 20, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAATL @ LA | N. Ogwumike over 14.5 pts (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −4.83% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 20, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAIND @ DAL | P. Bueckers over 30.5 PRA (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 15, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAMIN @ LV | J. Young over 18.5 pts (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | +0.11% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 15, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAMIN @ LV | N. Howard over 21.5 PRA (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Win | n/a | +0.87u |
| Sat Aug 15, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBALA @ WSH | R. Burrell over 15.5 pts (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +109 | Win | −6.73% | +0.95u |
| Fri Aug 14, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAPOR @ SEA | B. Carleton over 21.5 P+R (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 | Win | n/a | +0.95u |
| Fri Aug 14, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBADAL @ IND | A. Smith over 1.5 3PM (+115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +115 to a fair close of +130 | Loss | −6.57% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 14, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBADAL @ IND | K. Mitchell over 27.5 P+R (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.73% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 13, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAWSH @ LV | S. Austin over 26.5 P+R (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Win | n/a | +0.87u |
| Thu Aug 13, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAWSH @ LV | A. Wilson over 34.5 P+R (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −2.55% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 13, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBALA @ NY | E. Wheeler over 14.5 P+A (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 13, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAATL @ CON | R. Howard over 23.5 PRA (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 | Win | n/a | +0.77u |
All 35 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.