@tceonsgpnLosing to the close
21 graded picks, first post Oct 3, 2025, latest Sep 18, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+5.24u
21 priced picks
ROI
+25.0%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
13-8-0
Win rate 61.9%
CLV
−3.24%
95% interval −5.05% to −1.22%
Beat the fair close
19.1%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 18 | 10-8-0 | +4.9% | −2.77% | 16.7% | Unranked |
| NCAAB | 3 | 3-0-0 | +145.3% | −6.05% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 18 | 11-7-0 | +15.5% | −3.11% | 16.7% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 2 | 2-0-0 | +172.5% | −4.05% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −3.98% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCOLO @ NU | COLO/NU Under 47.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −3.98% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCOLO @ NU | NU −3.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −4.94% | +0.95u |
| Sun Sep 13, 12:00 AM ETReconstructed | NCAAFNMSU @ HAW | HAW −7.5 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −1.45% | +0.98u |
| Sat Sep 12, 10:15 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFARK @ UTAH | UTAH −11.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of −118 | Win | +4.24% | +0.93u |
| Sat Sep 12, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFNDSU @ AF | AF +2.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −1.35% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFGAST @ KENN | GAST +9.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −123 | Win | −0.88% | +0.80u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMSST @ MINN | MINN +1.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −5.38% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCAL @ SYR | SYR −3.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −2.89% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 10:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFWKU @ NEV | NEV +1.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −106 | Win | −2.50% | +0.89u |
| Sat Sep 5, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFULM @ MSST | MSST −28.5 (−107) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −107 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −3.27% | +0.93u |
| Sat Sep 5, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFBAY @ AUB | BAY +7.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −126 | Win | +4.27% | +0.87u |
| Sat Sep 5, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFORST @ HOU | HOU −20.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −3.11% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCCU @ WVU | WVU −21.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −4.65% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 4, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFFRES @ USC | FRES +21.5 (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of +109 | Loss | −9.24% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMEM @ UNLV | MEM +4.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +103 | Win | −7.49% | +0.88u |
| Sat Aug 29, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFHAW @ STAN | STAN −3.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −123 | Win | +2.95% | +0.87u |
| Sat Aug 29, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFNMSU @ FSU | FSU −30.5 (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −113 | Loss | −2.20% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 5:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJXST @ NDSU | NDSU −6.5 (−128) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −128 to a fair close of −107 | Win | −8.04% | +0.78u |
| Sat Feb 7, 6:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABDUKE @ UNC | UNC ML +220 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +220 to a fair close of +252 | Win | −9.20% | +2.20u |
| Sat Feb 7, 6:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABDUKE @ UNC | UNC +5.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +112 | Win | −10.06% | +0.91u |
| Fri Feb 6, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABCONN @ SJU | SJU ML +125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +123 | Win | +1.10% | +1.25u |
All 21 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.