Reddit · 4 graded picks

u/tdnwinddUnranked

First post Aug 31, 2026, latest Sep 18, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/tdnwindd (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

+0.09u

4 priced picks

ROI

+2.2%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

2-2-0

Win rate 50.0%

CLV

−3.11%

95% interval −4.32% to −1.30%

Beat fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +0.09u, peak +1.09u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
NCAAF	2	1-1-0	−4.5%	−4.10%	0.0%	Unranked
Soccer	2	1-1-0	+9.0%	−2.13%	0.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Spread	4	2-2-0	+2.2%	−3.11%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

4 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/tdnwindd: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	NCAAF	MIA −20.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · MIA @ WAKE	−110 to a fair close of +100	Loss	−4.55%	−1.00u
Sep 6, 10:15 AM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Barcelona −2 (+118) (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Valencia vs Barcelona	+118 to a fair close of +119	Win	−0.48%	+1.18u
Sep 4, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	NCAAF	USC 1H −13.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · FRES @ USC	−110 to a fair close of −102	Win	−3.66%	+0.91u
Aug 31, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Arsenal −1.5 (+142) (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Aston Villa vs Arsenal	+142 to a fair close of +151	Loss	−3.77%	−1.00u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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