u/TheLineTamerUnranked

10 graded picks, first post Jul 18, 2026, latest Sep 23, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

−2.70u

10 priced picks

ROI

−27.0%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

4-6-0

Win rate 40.0%

CLV

−2.18%

95% interval −5.20% to +1.14%

Beat the fair close

30.0%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now −2.7u, peak +1.7u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
MLB104-6-0−27.0%−2.18%30.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline84-4-0−8.8%−0.92%37.5%Unranked
Spread20-2-0−100.0%−7.24%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

10 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/TheLineTamer: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Wed Sep 23, 9:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBLAA @ ATHLAA −1.5 (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab)+120 to a fair close of +130Loss−4.22%−1.00u
Tue Aug 11, 9:46 PM ETReconstructedMLBHOU @ SFHOU ML −180 (original post, opens in a new tab)−180 to a fair close of −182Loss+0.47%−1.00u
Mon Aug 10, 9:46 PM ETReconstructedMLBHOU @ SFHOU ML −150 (original post, opens in a new tab)−150 to a fair close of −138Win−3.43%+0.67u
Sun Aug 9, 1:35 PM ETReconstructedMLBATH @ BOSBOS −1.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)−130 to a fair close of −103Loss−10.26%−1.00u
Sat Aug 8, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBNYM @ PITNYM ML +125 (original post, opens in a new tab)+125 to a fair close of +108Loss+7.92%−1.00u
Thu Aug 6, 9:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBSD @ ARISD ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of −101Win−1.91%+0.95u
Wed Aug 5, 9:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBSD @ ARISD ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −132Loss+4.38%−1.00u
Sat Aug 1, 7:16 PM ETReconstructedMLBNYY @ CHCNYY ML +100 (original post, opens in a new tab)+100 to a fair close of +117Loss−7.86%−1.00u
Wed Jul 29, 9:39 PM ETReconstructedMLBHOU @ LAAHOU ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab)−130 to a fair close of −123Win−2.37%+0.77u
Sat Jul 18, 4:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBBAL @ HOUBAL ML −110 (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +100Win−4.55%+0.91u

All 10 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.