u/tipapintUnranked

15 graded picks, first post Sep 2, 2026, latest Sep 26, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

−2.65u

15 priced picks

ROI

−17.7%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

7-8-0

Win rate 46.7%

CLV

−5.05%

95% interval −8.10% to −1.69%

Beat the fair close

20.0%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now −2.7u, peak +1.8u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Soccer104-6-0−31.8%−3.88%30.0%Unranked
NCAAF32-1-0+19.2%−7.62%0.0%Unranked
NFL21-1-0−2.4%−7.09%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline53-2-0−2.6%−2.53%40.0%Unranked
Spread51-4-0−61.8%−3.06%20.0%Unranked
Total43-1-0+39.2%−8.88%0.0%Unranked
Team total10-1-0−100.0%−12.36%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

15 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/tipapint: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMISS @ FLAMISS ML +145 (original post, opens in a new tab)+145 to a fair close of +172Loss−9.90%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBATL/GB Over 43.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of +109Win−6.43%+0.95u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ TENPHI −7 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +107Loss−7.75%−1.00u
Fri Sep 18, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerBrentford vs ChelseaChelsea TT Over 1.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of +109Loss−12.36%−1.00u
Thu Sep 17, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerBetis vs GetafeGetafe/Betis Under 2.5 (−162) (original post, opens in a new tab)−162 to a fair close of −109Win−15.48%+0.62u
Tue Sep 15, 2:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerAlavés vs ValenciaAlavés ML −110 (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −135Loss+9.61%−1.00u
Mon Sep 14, 12:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerComo vs ParmaComo −1.5 (−139) (original post, opens in a new tab)−139 to a fair close of −138Loss−0.33%−1.00u
Sat Sep 12, 10:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerChelsea vs HullChelsea −1.5 (−160) (original post, opens in a new tab)−160 to a fair close of −158Loss−0.51%−1.00u
Fri Sep 11, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMIZ @ KUMIZ −5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +110Win−9.24%+0.91u
Tue Sep 8, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerFC Porto vs Man CityMan City ML −145 (original post, opens in a new tab)−145 to a fair close of −148Win+0.70%+0.69u
Mon Sep 7, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFSMU @ FSUSMU ML −150 (original post, opens in a new tab)−150 to a fair close of −137Win−3.71%+0.67u
Sat Sep 5, 10:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerFulham vs C PalaceC Palace/Fulham Under 2.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +104Loss−6.38%−1.00u
Fri Sep 4, 3:05 PM ETReconstructedSoccerPSG vs MonacoPSG −1.5 (−103) (original post, opens in a new tab)−103 to a fair close of −108Loss+2.56%−1.00u
Fri Sep 4, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerIpswich vs LiverpoolLiverpool ML −195 (original post, opens in a new tab)−195 to a fair close of −150Win−9.34%+0.51u
Thu Sep 3, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerReal Sociedad vs Celta VigoCelta Vigo/Real Sociedad Under 2.5 (−100) (original post, opens in a new tab)−100 to a fair close of +116Win−7.24%+1.00u

All 15 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.