u/ApresGeeseUnranked

2 graded picks, first post Sep 19, 2026, latest Sep 27, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

−0.13u

2 priced picks

ROI

−6.5%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

1-1-0

Win rate 50.0%

CLV

−4.17%

95% interval −6.01% to −2.33%

Beat the fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now −0.1u, peak +0.9u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NFL21-1-0−6.5%−4.17%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Player props11-0-0+87.0%−2.33%0.0%Unranked
Spread10-1-0−100.0%−6.01%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

2 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/ApresGeese: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLCIN @ PITCIN −3.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of +108Loss−6.01%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBC. Watson over 69.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of −109Win−2.33%+0.87u

All 2 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.