beachboy4Losing to the close

205 graded picks, first post Nov 30, 2025, latest Sep 8, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+5.05u

205 priced picks

ROI

+2.5%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

112-93-0

Win rate 54.6%

CLV

−1.02%

95% interval −1.56% to −0.55%

Beat the fair close

28.9%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +5.1u, peak +7.2u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Basketball5725-32-0−15.8%−0.99%33.3%Losing to the close
NBA3918-21-0−8.5%−0.86%23.1%Losing to the close
Soccer3324-9-0+35.9%−1.51%24.2%Losing to the close
Tennis1912-7-0−2.2%−2.83%10.5%Unranked
NHL1310-3-0+56.3%−1.65%0.0%Unranked
Europa League118-3-0+35.9%+0.87%63.6%Unranked
Champions League104-6-0−26.4%−0.17%30.0%Unranked
Premier League103-7-0−38.6%+0.18%60.0%Unranked
La Liga44-0-0+90.6%0.00%50.0%Unranked
Ligue 131-2-0−51.9%−0.73%0.0%Unranked
Serie A32-1-0+17.8%−0.02%66.7%Unranked
Bundesliga10-1-0−100.0%−1.12%0.0%Unranked
Fa Cup11-0-0+56.3%n/an/aUnranked
Spanish Super Cup10-1-0−100.0%+1.25%100.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline14183-58-0+9.2%−1.01%27.1%Losing to the close
Spread6029-31-0−6.6%−1.11%31.7%Losing to the close
Total40-4-0−100.0%+0.06%50.0%Unranked

Graded picks

205 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

beachboy4: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Tue Sep 8, 11:00 PM ETReconstructedTennisB. Shelton vs C. AlcarazB. Shelton ML at 24.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)24.9¢ to a fair close of 23.5¢Win−5.66%+3.01u
Mon Sep 7, 9:15 PM ETReconstructedTennisA. Zverev vs L. DarderiA. Zverev ML at 89.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)89.5¢ to a fair close of 88.5¢Win−1.11%+0.12u
Sat Sep 5, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerORL vs SDGOrlando ML at 43.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)43.9¢ to a fair close of 43.5¢Win−0.96%+1.28u
Sat Sep 5, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedTennisN. Osaka vs E. MertensN. Osaka ML at 76.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)76.4¢ to a fair close of 75.5¢Win−1.12%+0.31u
Sat Sep 5, 11:05 AM ETReconstructedTennisA. Potapova vs A. AnisimovaA. Anisimova ML at 85.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)85.6¢ to a fair close of 84.5¢Loss−1.33%−1.00u
Fri Sep 4, 12:45 PM ETReconstructedTennisD. Medvedev vs A. RinderknechD. Medvedev ML at 74.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)74.5¢ to a fair close of 73.5¢Win−1.40%+0.34u
Wed Sep 2, 12:40 PM ETReconstructedTennisJ. Choinski vs B. van de ZandschulpB. van de Zandschulp ML at 80.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)80.6¢ to a fair close of 79¢Win−2.02%+0.24u
Tue Sep 1, 4:25 PM ETReconstructedTennisA. Fery vs L. MusettiL. Musetti ML at 78.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)78.6¢ to a fair close of 77.5¢Win−1.34%+0.27u
Mon Aug 31, 6:10 PM ETReconstructedTennisQ. Halys vs F. AcostaQ. Halys ML at 76.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)76.7¢ to a fair close of 74.5¢Win−2.85%+0.30u
Mon Aug 31, 5:45 PM ETReconstructedTennisR. Andres Burruchaga vs K. KhachanovK. Khachanov ML at 78.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)78.5¢ to a fair close of 77.5¢Win−1.24%+0.27u
Mon Aug 31, 1:50 PM ETReconstructedTennisM. Landaluce vs J. FearnleyJ. Fearnley ML at 48.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)48.2¢ to a fair close of 30.5¢Win−36.78%+1.07u
Sun Aug 30, 1:50 PM ETReconstructedTennisD. Medvedev vs H. GastonD. Medvedev ML at 87.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)87.6¢ to a fair close of 86.5¢Win−1.22%+0.14u
Sat Aug 29, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerCOL vs RSLSalt Lake to win: No at 76.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)76.9¢ to a fair close of 75.5¢Win−1.84%+0.30u
Sat Aug 29, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerCOL vs RSLColorado ML at 51.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)51.2¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢Win−3.35%+0.95u
Sat Aug 29, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerMIA vs MIMMiami ML at 72¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)72¢ to a fair close of 71.5¢Win−0.73%+0.39u
Sun Aug 23, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerATL vs SKCAtlanta to win: No at 45.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)45.6¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢Loss−2.49%−1.00u
Sat Aug 22, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerVWH vs DALVancouver ML at 73.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)73.1¢ to a fair close of 72.5¢Win−0.84%+0.37u
Wed Aug 19, 10:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerLAG vs SJELos Angeles Galaxy ML at 58.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)58.2¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢Win−2.90%+0.72u
Wed Aug 19, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerRSL vs DALSalt Lake ML at 50.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)50.9¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢Loss−2.77%−1.00u
Wed Aug 19, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerCOL vs LAFColorado ML at 47.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)47.6¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢Win−4.42%+1.10u
Wed Aug 19, 8:25 PM ETReconstructedTennisT. Fritz vs C. O'ConnellC. O'Connell ML at 13.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)13.8¢ to a fair close of 12.5¢Loss−9.21%−1.00u
Wed Aug 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerCLB vs MIMColumbus to win: No at 45.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)45.3¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢Win−1.85%+1.21u
Wed Aug 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerDCU vs NERD.C. United ML at 40.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)40.4¢ to a fair close of 39.5¢Loss−2.19%−1.00u
Sat Aug 15, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerCLT vs CLBCharlotte ML at 48.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)48.1¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢Win−3.41%+1.08u
Sat Aug 15, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerMIM vs DCUCF Montréal ML at 46.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)46.4¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢Loss+0.11%−1.00u
Tue Aug 11, 6:10 PM ETReconstructedTennisJ. Mensik vs B. SheltonJ. Mensik ML at 45.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)45.1¢ to a fair close of 42.5¢Loss−5.77%−1.00u
Sun Aug 9, 3:50 PM ETReconstructedTennisA. Korneeva vs C. GauffC. Gauff ML at 77.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)77.7¢ to a fair close of 78.5¢Win+0.99%+0.29u
Mon Aug 3, 12:10 PM ETReconstructedTennisJ. Pegula vs A. EalaJ. Pegula ML at 63.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)63.3¢ to a fair close of 78.5¢Loss+23.98%−1.00u
Sat Aug 1, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerNYR vs ORLRed Bull NY ML at 41.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)41.7¢ to a fair close of 40.5¢Win−2.95%+1.40u
Sat Aug 1, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerPHI vs ATLPhiladelphia ML at 64¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)64¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢Win−2.33%+0.56u
Sat Jul 25, 10:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerPOR vs RSLSalt Lake ML at 46.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)46.1¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢Loss−1.40%−1.00u
Sat Jul 25, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerPhiladelphia vs SeattlePhiladelphia ML at 58.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)58.2¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢Win−2.91%+0.72u
Sat Jul 25, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerNYC vs CHINYCFC ML at 42.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)42.6¢ to a fair close of 41.5¢Win−2.59%+1.35u
Sat Jul 25, 7:15 PM ETReconstructedSoccerCLB vs FCCColumbus ML at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)47¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢Win−3.29%+1.13u
Fri Jul 10, 11:20 AM ETReconstructedTennisJ. Sinner vs N. DjokovicJ. Sinner ML at 83.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)83.2¢ to a fair close of 82.5¢Win−0.90%+0.20u
Thu Jul 9, 11:45 AM ETReconstructedTennisM. Kostyuk vs L. NoskovaM. Kostyuk ML at 60.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)60.2¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢Loss−1.14%−1.00u
Fri Jul 3, 12:15 PM ETReconstructedTennisA. Sabalenka vs J. OstapenkoJ. Ostapenko ML at 23.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)23.7¢ to a fair close of 23¢Loss−2.86%−1.00u
Thu May 28, 2:00 PM ETReconstructedTennisM. Arnaldi vs S. TsitsipasS. Tsitsipas ML at 65.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)65.4¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢Loss−2.88%−1.00u
Sun May 17, 3:15 PM ETReconstructedSoccerBAR vs BETBarcelona ML at 74.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)74.6¢ to a fair close of 74.5¢Win−0.15%+0.34u
Wed May 13, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerFCC vs MIAMiami ML at 48.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)48.6¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢Win−2.26%+1.06u
Sun May 10, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerHAC vs OLMMarseille ML at 52.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52.1¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Win−1.16%+0.92u
Sat May 9, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerCLT vs FCCCharlotte ML at 46.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)46.6¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢Loss−2.28%−1.00u
Sat Apr 25, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerANG vs PSGPSG ML at 79¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)79¢ to a fair close of 79.5¢Win+0.64%+0.27u
Sun Apr 12, 8:30 PM ETReconstructedNBAGS @ LACGS ML at 41¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)41¢ to a fair close of 40.5¢Loss−1.22%−1.00u
Sun Apr 12, 6:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAORL @ BOSORL −12.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢Loss+0.96%−1.00u
Sun Apr 12, 6:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAORL @ BOSORL −10.5 at 57.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)57.9¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢Loss+2.80%−1.00u
Sat Apr 11, 2:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerMIM vs PHIPhiladelphia ML at 35¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)35¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢Win+1.43%+1.86u
Sat Apr 11, 12:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerPAU vs BAYBayern München ML at 73.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)73.4¢ to a fair close of 73.5¢Win+0.13%+0.36u
Sat Apr 11, 10:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerBRE vs EVEBrentford ML at 45.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)45.3¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢Loss+0.49%−1.00u
Fri Apr 10, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAMIA @ WASWSH +15.5 at 49.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)49.9¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢Loss−2.83%−1.00u

All 205 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.