Reddit · 5 graded picks

u/BudgetKind2828Unranked

First post Jul 28, 2026, latest Aug 3, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/budgetkind2828 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

+2.20u

5 priced picks

ROI

+44.0%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

4-1-0

Win rate 80.0%

CLV

−7.29%

95% interval −12.30% to −4.02%

Beat fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +2.20u, peak +2.20u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
WNBA	3	3-0-0	+85.9%	−4.51%	0.0%	Unranked
MLB	2	1-1-0	−18.8%	−11.46%	0.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	2	1-1-0	−18.8%	−11.46%	0.0%	Unranked
Spread	2	2-0-0	+90.9%	−4.68%	0.0%	Unranked
Total	1	1-0-0	+75.8%	−4.18%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

5 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/BudgetKind2828: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Aug 3, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	LV +1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · LV @ ATL	−110 to a fair close of −103	Win	−3.27%	+0.91u
Aug 2, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	DAL −11.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · CON @ DAL	−110 to a fair close of +103	Win	−6.10%	+0.91u
Aug 1, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	NYY ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYY @ CHC	−125 to a fair close of +117	Loss	−17.08%	−1.00u
Jul 31, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	IND/POR Over 185.5 (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · IND @ POR	−132 to a fair close of −120	Win	−4.18%	+0.76u
Jul 30, 10:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	LAD ML −160 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SEA @ LAD	−160 to a fair close of −138	Win	−5.84%	+0.63u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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