@covers_joshNot yet

41 graded picks, first post Sep 20, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+2.67u

41 priced picks

ROI

+6.5%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

21-20-0

Win rate 51.2%

CLV

−0.32%

95% interval −3.06% to +2.22%

Beat the fair close

46.0%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +2.7u, peak +2.7u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NHL2111-10-0+9.4%+0.01%47.6%Not yet
MLB106-4-0+18.7%+5.69%77.8%Unranked
NFL104-6-0−11.7%−9.05%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Player props3214-18-0−9.7%−0.12%46.4%Not yet
Team total43-1-0+65.0%−2.02%25.0%Unranked
Moneyline21-1-0+10.0%−6.11%50.0%Unranked
Total22-0-0+96.0%+7.04%100.0%Unranked
Spread11-0-0+105.0%−2.26%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

41 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

@covers_josh: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sat Oct 3, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLCHI @ BUFCHI TT Over 2.5 (+113) (original post, opens in a new tab)+113 to a fair close of +102Win+5.26%+1.13u
Fri Oct 2, 6:40 PM ETReconstructedNHLNYR @ DETNYR TT Under 2.5 (+130) (original post, opens in a new tab)+130 to a fair close of +139Win−3.69%+1.30u
Thu Oct 1, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLEDM @ VANEDM/VAN Over 6.5 (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab)+105 to a fair close of −115Win+9.43%+1.05u
Thu Oct 1, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLEDM @ VANVAN ML +165 (original post, opens in a new tab)+165 to a fair close of +205Loss−13.26%−1.00u
Wed Sep 30, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLLA @ COLLA TT Under 2.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)−109 to a fair close of −105Loss−1.89%−1.00u
Wed Sep 30, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedMLBBOS @ NYYB. Rice over 1.5 BB (+630) (original post, opens in a new tab)+630Lossn/a−1.00u
Wed Sep 30, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedMLBBOS @ NYYB. Rice over 0.5 BB (+135) (original post, opens in a new tab)+135 to a fair close of +124Win+4.77%+1.35u
Wed Sep 30, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNHLNYI @ TORNYI TT Under 2.5 (+117) (original post, opens in a new tab)+117 to a fair close of +135Win−7.76%+1.17u
Wed Sep 30, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNHLNYI @ TORK. Marchenko over 2.5 SOG (+108) (original post, opens in a new tab)+108 to a fair close of +108Win+0.05%+1.08u
Wed Sep 30, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNHLNYI @ TORTOR ML +120 (original post, opens in a new tab)+120 to a fair close of +118Win+1.04%+1.20u
Wed Sep 30, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNHLPIT @ PHIO. Tippett over 0.5 pts (+104) (original post, opens in a new tab)+104 to a fair close of +114Loss−4.87%−1.00u
Wed Sep 30, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNHLPIT @ PHIT. Novak over 0.5 pts (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab)+120 to a fair close of +132Win−5.13%+1.20u
Tue Sep 29, 10:40 PM ETReconstructedNHLCHI @ VGKB. Byram over 0.5 pts (+145) (original post, opens in a new tab)+145 to a fair close of +162Loss−6.55%−1.00u
Tue Sep 29, 10:40 PM ETReconstructedNHLCHI @ VGKA. Frondell over 0.5 pts (+115) (original post, opens in a new tab)+115 to a fair close of +134Loss−8.05%−1.00u
Tue Sep 29, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLVAN @ EDMM. Rossi over 0.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of +110Win−12.64%+0.83u
Tue Sep 29, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLVAN @ EDMB. Boeser over 0.5 pts (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab)+105 to a fair close of +101Win+2.04%+1.05u
Tue Sep 29, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLVAN @ EDMV. Podkolzin over 0.5 pts (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab)+100 to a fair close of −151Win+20.42%+1.00u
Tue Sep 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLMTL @ TORJ. Tavares over 0.5 pts (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of −137Win+12.91%+0.95u
Tue Sep 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLMTL @ TORG. McKenna over 0.5 pts (+160) (original post, opens in a new tab)+160 to a fair close of +127Loss+14.73%−1.00u
Tue Sep 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLMTL @ TORN. Suzuki over 0.5 pts (−230) (original post, opens in a new tab)−230 to a fair close of −202Loss−4.01%−1.00u
Tue Sep 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNHLMTL @ TORC. Caufield over 0.5 pts (−180) (original post, opens in a new tab)−180 to a fair close of −161Loss−4.15%−1.00u
Tue Sep 29, 5:00 PM ETReconstructedNHLFLA @ CARA. Barkov over 0.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)−130 to a fair close of −140Loss+3.20%−1.00u
Tue Sep 29, 5:00 PM ETReconstructedNHLFLA @ CARS. Reinhart over 0.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)−130 to a fair close of −140Loss+3.20%−1.00u
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHID. Swift under 10.5 rec yds (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)−108Winn/a+0.93u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLHOU @ INDD. Montgomery over 1.5 rec (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +110Win−9.19%+0.91u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLHOU @ INDD. Montgomery anytime TD (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of +106Loss−9.13%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ WSHE. Wilson anytime TD (+200) (original post, opens in a new tab)+200Lossn/a−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLKC @ MIAX. Worthy anytime TD (+180) (original post, opens in a new tab)+180 to a fair close of +209Loss−9.46%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLCIN @ PITJ. Chase anytime TD (+130) (original post, opens in a new tab)+130 to a fair close of +132Win−0.92%+1.30u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLNE @ JAXH. Henry anytime TD (+252) (original post, opens in a new tab)+252 to a fair close of +286Loss−8.89%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLCAR @ CLED. Boston anytime TD (+199) (original post, opens in a new tab)+199 to a fair close of +255Loss−15.77%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLNYJ @ DETG. Wilson anytime TD (+170) (original post, opens in a new tab)+170 to a fair close of +200Win−9.99%+1.70u
Fri Sep 25, 9:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBHOU @ ATHJ. Lopez under 4.5 Ks (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −147Win+9.17%+0.83u
Fri Sep 25, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB @ PHIF. Peralta over 4.5 Ks (+126) (original post, opens in a new tab)+126 to a fair close of +123Loss+1.34%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 7:16 PM ETReconstructedMLBCIN @ ATLCIN/ATL Over 7.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of −127Win+4.65%+0.87u
Wed Sep 23, 7:06 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB @ NYYNYY F5 −0.5 (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab)+105 to a fair close of +110Win−2.26%+1.05u
Wed Sep 23, 3:46 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIN @ SFC. Prielipp over 5.5 Ks (+116) (original post, opens in a new tab)+116 to a fair close of −101Loss+8.48%−1.00u
Wed Sep 23, 1:36 PM ETReconstructedMLBTOR @ BALC. Bassitt over 3.5 Ks (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)−125 to a fair close of −149Loss+7.63%−1.00u
Mon Sep 21, 9:46 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIN @ SFZ. Matthews over 4.5 Ks (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)−116 to a fair close of −114Win−0.67%+0.86u
Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLNYG @ LARJ. Dart over 29.5 rush yds (−148) (original post, opens in a new tab)−148Lossn/a−1.00u
Mon Sep 21, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBWSH @ DETD. Herz over 3.5 Ks (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −162Win+18.09%+0.91u

All 41 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.