@coversjloLosing to the close
42 graded picks, first post Aug 17, 2026, latest Sep 24, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−1.50u
42 priced picks
ROI
−3.6%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
21-21-0
Win rate 50.0%
CLV
−4.06%
95% interval −5.56% to −2.92%
Beat the fair close
13.9%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 42 | 21-21-0 | −3.6% | −4.06% | 13.9% | Losing to the close |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 15 | 6-9-0 | −26.6% | −4.13% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| Player props | 13 | 7-6-0 | +11.5% | −4.20% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 11 | 6-5-0 | +2.9% | −3.62% | 18.2% | Unranked |
| Team total | 2 | 2-0-0 | +84.1% | −5.00% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −5.14% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ DEN | LAR/DEN Under 44.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −1.22% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLV @ NO | LV +3.5 (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of +104 | Win | −9.76% | +0.84u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | BAL/DAL Under 52.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +122 | Loss | −13.83% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ TB | TB +1.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −2.07% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | CIN ML −174 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −174 to a fair close of −152 | Loss | −5.14% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | LAC +7.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −2.12% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ JAX | JAX −2.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −122 | Win | +0.79% | +0.83u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ IND | IND TT Under 20.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −113 | Win | −0.65% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ CLE | CAR/CLE Over 41 (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −7.37% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | LAR TT Over 27.5 (−123) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −123 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −9.35% | +0.81u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | M. Stafford over 224.5 pass yds (−167) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −167 | Win | n/a | +0.60u |
| Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ KC | IND/KC Under 46.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −1.84% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ KC | D. Jones over 8.5 rush yds (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of −103 | Win | −2.36% | +0.93u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | WSH +4.5 (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −5.54% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIA @ SF | C. McCaffrey over 57.5 rush yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | T. McLaurin over 49.5 rec yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 | Win | n/a | +0.83u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ NE | PIT +5.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | +0.64% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ BAL | NO +8.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −5.05% | +0.88u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ CHI | CHI −5.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +111 | Loss | −5.42% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ NYJ | GB/NYJ Under 43.5 (+104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +104 to a fair close of +107 | Win | −1.55% | +1.04u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNO @ BAL | NO/BAL Under 47.5 (−141) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −141 to a fair close of −137 | Win | −1.10% | +0.71u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ NYJ | G. Smith over 0.5 INTs (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −0.76% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ NYJ | GB/NYJ Over 43.5 (−107) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −107 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | +0.10% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ HOU | HOU −2.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −110 | Loss | −3.34% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | DET +3.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of +124 | Loss | −14.44% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | R. Rice anytime TD (+175) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +175 to a fair close of +180 | Win | −1.73% | +1.75u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | C. Sutton over 40.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | K. Walker over 59.5 rush yds (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 | Win | n/a | +0.86u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | DEN/KC Under 43.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −112 | Win | +1.04% | +0.91u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | DEN +2.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −3.16% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDAL @ NYG | G. Pickens anytime TD (+152) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +152 to a fair close of +172 | Loss | −7.22% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDAL @ NYG | DAL/NYG Over 47.5 (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −4.67% | +0.86u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | J. Jefferson anytime TD (+166) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +166 to a fair close of +190 | Win | −8.16% | +1.66u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | J. Jefferson over 71.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Win | n/a | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | K. Murray over 1.5 pass TDs (+114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +114 to a fair close of +124 | Loss | −4.45% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ MIN | MIN −1 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −127 | Win | +1.69% | +0.82u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ IND | L. Jackson over 1.5 pass TDs (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +120 | Loss | −4.72% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ HOU | BUF/HOU Over 44.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −4.55% | +0.91u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCLE @ JAX | JAX −7.5 (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 to a fair close of −112 | Win | −7.17% | +0.76u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTB @ CIN | TB +3.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −2.72% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ TEN | NYJ +1.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −4.20% | +0.88u |
| Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ SEA | NE/SEA Under 44.5 (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −4.88% | +0.89u |
All 42 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.