The Hooded Sharp
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Reddit · 3 graded picks

u/deforandomUnranked

First post Jul 2, 2026, latest Sep 17, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Net units (1u flat)

+0.60u

3 priced picks

ROI

+20.1%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

2-1-0

Win rate 66.7%

CLV

−3.85%

95% interval −5.16% to −2.54%

Beat fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +0.60u, peak +1.60u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NFL21-1-0−11.5%−5.16%0.0%Unranked
MMA11-0-0+83.3%−2.54%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline22-0-0+80.1%−3.85%0.0%Unranked
Player props10-1-0−100.0%No picks with a fair close yetNo picks with a fair close yetUnranked

Graded picks

3 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/deforandom: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLD. Moore over 62.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ BUF−115LossNo closing price for this market−1.00u
Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLKC ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ KC−130 to a fair close of −116Win−5.16%+0.77u
Jul 11, 8:35 PM ETReconstructedMMAR. Whittaker ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)MMA · R. Whittaker vs N. Krylov−120 to a fair close of −113Win−2.54%+0.83u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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