Reddit · 7 graded picks

u/Dillydilly239Unranked

First post Aug 17, 2026, latest Aug 28, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/dillydilly239 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−0.14u

7 priced picks

ROI

−2.0%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

4-3-0

Win rate 57.1%

CLV

−1.76%

95% interval −3.02% to −0.59%

Beat fair close

14.3%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −0.14u, peak +2.12u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	7	4-3-0	−2.0%	−1.76%	14.3%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	7	4-3-0	−2.0%	−1.76%	14.3%	Unranked

Graded picks

7 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Dillydilly239: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Aug 28, 6:46 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIA ML −145 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIA @ WSH	−145 to a fair close of −129	Loss	−4.76%	−1.00u
Aug 27, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	NYY ML −155 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · HOU @ NYY	−155 to a fair close of −149	Loss	−1.58%	−1.00u
Aug 26, 4:08 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CLE ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CLE @ LAA	−135 to a fair close of −129	Win	−1.88%	+0.74u
Aug 25, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	TEX ML −110 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TEX @ CHW	−110 to a fair close of −103	Loss	−3.16%	−1.00u
Aug 24, 9:39 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CLE ML −155 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CLE @ LAA	−155 to a fair close of −153	Win	−0.52%	+0.65u
Aug 23, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CHC ML −115 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHC @ SEA	−115 to a fair close of −117	Win	+0.83%	+0.87u
Aug 18, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIL ML −165 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SEA @ MIL	−165 to a fair close of −160	Win	−1.27%	+0.61u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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