Reddit · 7 graded picks

u/EthicalGamblerUnranked

First post Jul 3, 2026, latest Aug 14, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/ethicalgambler (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−7.00u

7 priced picks

ROI

−100.0%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

0-7-0

Win rate 0.0%

CLV

−12.95%

95% interval −21.27% to −5.89%

Beat fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −7.00u, peak 0.00u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	7	0-7-0	−100.0%	−12.95%	0.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Player props	6	0-6-0	−100.0%	−14.71%	0.0%	Unranked
Moneyline	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−2.39%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

7 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/EthicalGambler: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Aug 14, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	WSH ML +105 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · WSH @ NYM	+105 to a fair close of +110	Loss	−2.39%	−1.00u
Jul 22, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	M. Murakami over 0.5 RBI (+155) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ TEX	+155 to a fair close of +173	Loss	−6.75%	−1.00u
Jul 21, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	M. Murakami over 0.5 RBI (+165) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ TEX	+165 to a fair close of +182	Loss	−6.11%	−1.00u
Jul 20, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	M. Murakami over 0.5 RBI (+160) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ TEX	+160 to a fair close of +223	Loss	−19.50%	−1.00u
Jul 19, 12:16 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	M. Murakami over 0.5 RBI (+155) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ TOR	+155 to a fair close of +197	Loss	−14.13%	−1.00u
Jul 16, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	B. Harper over 0.5 RBI (+140) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYM @ PHI	+140 to a fair close of +271	Loss	−35.38%	−1.00u
Jul 3, 7:05 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	C. Bellinger over 0.5 RBI (+125) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIN @ NYY	+125 to a fair close of +140	Loss	−6.36%	−1.00u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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