@fammirantetfjLosing to the close
95 graded picks, first post Sep 7, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+1.72u
95 priced picks
ROI
+1.8%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
52-43-0
Win rate 54.7%
CLV
−3.21%
95% interval −4.69% to −1.70%
Beat the fair close
18.5%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 85 | 49-36-0 | +7.1% | −3.15% | 19.7% | Losing to the close |
| MLB | 7 | 2-5-0 | −45.4% | −3.36% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| NHL | 3 | 1-2-0 | −38.9% | −4.09% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 49 | 28-21-0 | +6.3% | −4.47% | 8.6% | Losing to the close |
| Spread | 20 | 11-9-0 | +4.3% | −2.91% | 25.0% | Not yet |
| Total | 19 | 8-11-0 | −19.5% | −1.82% | 26.3% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 6 | 4-2-0 | +12.0% | −1.07% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| Team total | 1 | 1-0-0 | +74.1% | −3.97% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ CAR | DET/CAR Over 51.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of −107 | Win | +3.57% | +1.00u |
| Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLGB @ TB | GB −3.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +140 | Loss | −18.60% | −1.00u |
| Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDAL @ HOU | HOU −2.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −0.06% | −1.00u |
| Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ BUF | BUF −6.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −110 | Loss | −1.98% | −1.00u |
| Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ WSH | WSH +3.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +125 | Loss | −15.01% | −1.00u |
| Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ CLE | K. Concepcion over 3.5 rec (−144) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −144 | Win | n/a | +0.69u |
| Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ CLE | J. Warren over 65.5 rush yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 | Win | n/a | +0.89u |
| Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ CLE | PIT −2.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −110 | Loss | −4.07% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 30, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NHLLA @ COL | LA/COL Under 6.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −9.42% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 30, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SD | CHC TT Under 3.5 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −123 | Win | −3.97% | +0.74u |
| Wed Sep 30, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NHLNYI @ TOR | TOR ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −134 | Win | +4.90% | +0.83u |
| Wed Sep 30, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | CHW/HOU F5 Under 3.5 (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +127 | Loss | −2.93% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 30, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ ATL | ATL ML −102 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −2.42% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SD | CHC/SD Under 7.5 (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −2.01% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ NYY | BOS/NYY Under 6.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −118 | Loss | −4.29% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NHLMTL @ TOR | TOR ML −110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −7.75% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ HOU | CHW ML +108 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +108 to a fair close of +114 | Win | −2.59% | +1.08u |
| Tue Sep 29, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ ATL | PHI/ATL Under 6.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +111 | Loss | −5.28% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | PHI/CHI Under 43.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −116 | Win | −0.79% | +0.85u |
| Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPHI @ CHI | C. Loveland over 36.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ DEN | LAR/DEN Under 43.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −4.65% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLV @ NO | LV +3.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +104 | Win | −8.32% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLV @ NO | B. Bowers over 47.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −4.55% | +0.91u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ DAL | BAL/DAL Under 53.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −5.36% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ SF | J. Love over 38.5 rush yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −103 | Win | −2.94% | +0.91u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ SF | ARI +8.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −111 | Win | −0.23% | +0.89u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ TB | J. Addison over 36.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −6.52% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | LAC +7.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −2.12% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ CLE | Q. Judkins over 61.5 rush yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −6.83% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ DET | DET ML −312 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −312 to a fair close of −290 | Win | −1.80% | +0.32u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ IND | J. Downs over 49.5 rec yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 | Win | n/a | +0.89u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ DET | J. Williams over 54.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −1.89% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | M. Pittman Jr. over 26.5 rec yds (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −4.95% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ IND | D. Montgomery anytime TD (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +106 | Loss | −2.79% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ PIT | C. Brown over 63.5 rush yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −3.56% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ WSH | S. Darnold under 224.5 pass yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of −100 | Loss | −5.54% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ JAX | NE/JAX Over 45.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −126 | Loss | +4.10% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ DET | DET −6.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −108 | Win | −0.69% | +0.91u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ BUF | J. Herbert over 226.5 pass yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTEN @ NYG | T. Pollard over 14.5 rush att (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −9.56% | +0.77u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTEN @ NYG | TEN/NYG Under 38.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.36% | +0.89u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTEN @ NYG | C. Ward under 190.5 pass yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 | Win | n/a | +0.89u |
| Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLKC @ MIA | C. Bell over 19.5 rec yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −6.01% | +0.89u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | M. Lloyd under 27.5 rush yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 | Win | n/a | +0.89u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | ATL +7 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −147 | Win | +11.42% | +0.87u |
| Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ GB | D. London over 64.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −2.33% | +0.87u |
| Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLIND @ KC | R. Rice under 53.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −127 | Loss | +6.88% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ ARI | J. Smith-Njigba under 6.5 rec (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of −129 | Loss | +6.92% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ DAL | WSH/DAL Under 50.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −5.53% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSEA @ ARI | ARI +5.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −123 | Loss | +5.34% | −1.00u |
All 95 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.