Reddit · 8 graded picks

u/Fancy-Assistant-7053Unranked

First post Jul 11, 2026, latest Oct 4, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/fancy-assistant-7053 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

+3.35u

8 priced picks

ROI

+41.9%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

6-2-0

Win rate 75.0%

CLV

−1.39%

95% interval −6.10% to +3.82%

Beat fair close

28.6%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +3.35u, peak +4.35u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
NFL	5	3-2-0	+15.4%	+2.74%	50.0%	Unranked
MLB	2	2-0-0	+83.1%	−8.27%	0.0%	Unranked
Soccer	1	1-0-0	+91.7%	−4.13%	0.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Total	4	4-0-0	+89.5%	+1.43%	50.0%	Unranked
Player props	2	1-1-0	−4.5%	−2.85%	0.0%	Unranked
Moneyline	1	1-0-0	+86.2%	−11.54%	0.0%	Unranked
Spread	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−1.02%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

8 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/Fancy-Assistant-7053: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Oct 4, 8:20 PM ETLive	NFL	J. Gibbs over 96.5 rush yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ CAR	−120	Loss	No closing price for this market	−1.00u
Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	DET/BUF Over 52.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ BUF	−110 to a fair close of −140	Win	+11.49%	+0.91u
Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	DEN/KC Under 43.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ KC	−105 to a fair close of −112	Win	+3.34%	+0.95u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	DET −6.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · NO @ DET	−110 to a fair close of −108	Loss	−1.02%	−1.00u
Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Maye over 23.5 rush yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · NE @ SEA	−110 to a fair close of −104	Win	−2.85%	+0.91u
Aug 28, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	LAD/DET Under 7.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAD @ DET	−125 to a fair close of −112	Win	−4.99%	+0.80u
Aug 26, 3:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ARI ML −116 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHC @ ARI	−116 to a fair close of +111	Win	−11.54%	+0.86u
Aug 24, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Fiorentina/AS Roma Over 2.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · AS Roma vs Fiorentina	−109 to a fair close of +100	Win	−4.13%	+0.92u

1 pick was tracked live; 7 were reconstructed from the original public posts, at the time and price they were posted. Each row is labeled. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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