Reddit · 8 graded picks

u/FCSploogeUnranked

First post Jul 2, 2026, latest Sep 10, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/fcsplooge (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−2.37u

8 priced picks

ROI

−29.6%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

3-5-0

Win rate 37.5%

CLV

−2.12%

95% interval −4.83% to +0.68%

Beat fair close

25.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −2.37u, peak +1.92u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
WNBA	7	3-4-0	−19.6%	−2.35%	28.6%	Unranked
MLB	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−0.50%	0.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Player props	7	3-4-0	−19.6%	−2.35%	28.6%	Unranked
Spread	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−0.50%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

8 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/FCSplooge: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sep 10, 1:06 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	PHI −1.5 (+122) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · HOU @ PHI	+122 to a fair close of +123	Loss	−0.50%	−1.00u
Aug 2, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	E. Engstler over 5.5 reb (+118) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · LA @ POR	+118 to a fair close of +109	Loss	+4.37%	−1.00u
Aug 1, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	D. Bonner under 1.5 3PM (−170) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · NY @ PHX	−170 to a fair close of −156	Loss	−3.24%	−1.00u
Jul 31, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	P. Bueckers under 4.5 reb (−157) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · DAL @ WSH	−157 to a fair close of −145	Loss	−3.05%	−1.00u
Jul 30, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	J. Young under 4.5 reb (−141) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · NY @ LV	−141 to a fair close of −135	Win	−1.86%	+0.71u
Jul 29, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	J. Shepard under 11.5 reb (−126) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · ATL @ DAL	−126 to a fair close of −104	Loss	−8.45%	−1.00u
Jul 28, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	E. Engstler over 5.5 reb (+115) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · POR @ LV	+115 to a fair close of +110	Win	+2.16%	+1.15u
Jul 11, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	A. Thomas under 14.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · PHX @ LV	−130 to a fair close of −112	Win	−6.38%	+0.77u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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