u/GoldenTateWarriorsUnranked

8 graded picks, first post Sep 9, 2026, latest Sep 28, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

−1.02u

8 priced picks

ROI

−12.8%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

4-4-0

Win rate 50.0%

CLV

−8.34%

95% interval −14.61% to −2.80%

Beat the fair close

12.5%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now −1.0u, peak 0.0u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NFL84-4-0−12.8%−8.34%12.5%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Player props84-4-0−12.8%−8.34%12.5%Unranked

Graded picks

8 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/GoldenTateWarriors: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHIJ. Hurts under 0.5 INTs (−158) (original post, opens in a new tab)−158 to a fair close of −153Loss−1.35%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBD. London over 5.5 rec (−183) (original post, opens in a new tab)−183 to a fair close of +104Win−24.11%+0.55u
Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLNYG @ LARM. Stafford over 1.5 pass TDs (−151) (original post, opens in a new tab)−151 to a fair close of −165Win+3.60%+0.66u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ TENJ. Hurts under 0.5 INTs (−165) (original post, opens in a new tab)−165 to a fair close of −148Loss−4.13%−1.00u
Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLDET @ BUFA. Ra St Brown over 7.5 rec (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)−116 to a fair close of +110Win−11.42%+0.86u
Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLDEN @ KCR. Rice over 5.5 rec (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of +140Loss−18.59%−1.00u
Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructedNFLWSH @ PHIS. Barkley over 76.5 rush yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +100Win−4.55%+0.91u
Wed Sep 9, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLNE @ SEAJ. Smith-Njigba under 82.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab)−114 to a fair close of +100Loss−6.14%−1.00u

All 8 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.