The Hooded Sharp
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Reddit · 16 graded picks

u/GrNivekUnranked

First post Jul 29, 2026, latest Aug 16, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Net units (1u flat)

−0.28u

16 priced picks

ROI

−1.8%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

8-8-0

Win rate 50.0%

CLV

−1.51%

95% interval −3.67% to +0.74%

Beat fair close

31.3%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −0.28u, peak +2.73u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
MLB137-6-0+6.5%−0.76%38.5%Unranked
WNBA20-2-0−100.0%−3.84%0.0%Unranked
Soccer11-0-0+87.0%−6.52%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline94-5-0−13.7%+0.31%44.4%Unranked
Total64-2-0+32.5%−3.83%16.7%Unranked
Spread10-1-0−100.0%−3.95%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

16 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/GrNivek: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Aug 16, 4:07 PM ETReconstructedMLBLAA ML +106 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · KC @ LAA+106 to a fair close of +112Loss−2.61%−1.00u
Aug 15, 6:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −138 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · BAL @ TB−138 to a fair close of −142Loss+1.30%−1.00u
Aug 14, 9:39 PM ETReconstructedMLBLAA ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · KC @ LAA−105 to a fair close of +101Loss−2.85%−1.00u
Aug 13, 1:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBDET ML +115 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CLE @ DET+115 to a fair close of +107Win+3.87%+1.15u
Aug 12, 6:40 PM ETReconstructedMLBDET ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CLE @ DET−118 to a fair close of −117Loss−0.56%−1.00u
Aug 11, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBDET ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CLE @ DET−120 to a fair close of −134Win+4.90%+0.83u
Aug 10, 7:15 PM ETReconstructedMLBATL ML −140 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYM @ ATL−140 to a fair close of −132Loss−2.55%−1.00u
Aug 9, 1:40 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIA ML −138 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAA @ MIA−138 to a fair close of −136Win−0.69%+0.72u
Aug 8, 3:05 PM ETReconstructedMLBATL/NYY Over 7.5 (+107) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · ATL @ NYY+107 to a fair close of −106Win+6.70%+1.07u
Aug 7, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBTOR/PHI Over 8 (+103) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TOR @ PHI+103 to a fair close of +120Win−7.75%+1.03u
Aug 6, 2:21 PM ETReconstructedMLBCHC ML +106 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TOR @ CHC+106 to a fair close of +102Win+2.00%+1.06u
Aug 3, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAPHX/CHI Under 179.5 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · PHX @ CHI−106 to a fair close of +102Loss−3.73%−1.00u
Aug 2, 3:16 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIL/LAA Over 7.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIL @ LAA−112 to a fair close of +112Loss−10.69%−1.00u
Aug 1, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerColumbus/Miami Over 3.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Miami vs Columbus−115 to a fair close of +100Win−6.52%+0.87u
Jul 30, 8:10 PM ETReconstructedWNBATOR +11.5 (−103) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · MIN @ TOR−103 to a fair close of +105Loss−3.95%−1.00u
Jul 29, 1:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBBAL/DET Over 7.5 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · BAL @ DET−102 to a fair close of +100Win−0.98%+0.98u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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