u/Happy-Translator8072Losing to the close
20 graded picks, first post Jul 25, 2026, latest Aug 20, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+2.43u
20 priced picks
ROI
+12.1%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
12-8-0
Win rate 60.0%
CLV
−2.61%
95% interval −4.26% to −0.89%
Beat the fair close
25.0%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 15 | 10-5-0 | +23.8% | −2.53% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| WNBA | 5 | 2-3-0 | −22.9% | −2.84% | 40.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 11 | 7-4-0 | +20.9% | −2.52% | 18.2% | Unranked |
| Spread | 5 | 2-3-0 | −22.9% | −4.97% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 4 | 3-1-0 | +32.0% | +0.09% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Aug 20, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAATL @ LA | ATL/LA Over 179.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −123 | Win | +5.16% | +0.91u |
| Wed Aug 19, 6:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ PHI | PHI ML −123 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −123 to a fair close of −136 | Win | +4.40% | +0.81u |
| Sun Aug 16, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ DET | DET ML −106 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | +0.90% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 15, 4:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ SF | SF ML −174 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −174 to a fair close of −158 | Win | −3.67% | +0.57u |
| Fri Aug 14, 6:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ CIN | CIN ML −112 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −1.28% | +0.89u |
| Thu Aug 13, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ DET | CLE/DET Under 8 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +102 | Win | −5.46% | +0.91u |
| Mon Aug 10, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ MIN | BAL/MIN Under 8.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −0.46% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 9, 1:35 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ PIT | NYM/PIT Under 8 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −6.76% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 8, 3:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ NYY | ATL/NYY Over 7.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −106 | Win | −1.59% | +0.91u |
| Fri Aug 7, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ PIT | NYM/PIT Under 8.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −0.90% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 6, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBALV @ IND | IND +1.5 (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −104 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | +1.24% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 5, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBADAL @ WSH | DAL −2.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −6.32% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 3, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBASEA @ NY | NY −8.5 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of +116 | Win | −9.95% | +0.94u |
| Sun Aug 2, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ NYM | MIA/NYM Under 8.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −4.55% | +0.91u |
| Sat Aug 1, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBANY @ PHX | NY −2.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −4.35% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 31, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBWSH @ ATL | WSH/ATL Over 9 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −3.63% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jul 30, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBKC @ MIN | KC/MIN Under 9.5 (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −122 | Win | +1.17% | +0.84u |
| Wed Jul 29, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ NYM | ATL/NYM Under 8.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −7.05% | +0.91u |
| Sun Jul 26, 7:21 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ PHI | NYY/PHI Over 8 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −3.63% | +0.91u |
| Sat Jul 25, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ MIL | MIL −1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +102 | Win | −5.46% | +0.91u |
All 20 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.