u/InconsolableBratNot yet

31 graded picks, first post Oct 20, 2025, latest Dec 28, 2025. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+6.57u

31 priced picks

ROI

+21.2%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

20-11-0

Win rate 64.5%

CLV

+1.76%

95% interval −1.85% to +5.51%

Beat the fair close

53.3%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +6.6u, peak +9.7u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NBA3120-11-0+21.2%+1.76%53.3%Not yet

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Player props1611-5-0+27.2%−0.04%53.3%Unranked
Spread149-5-0+23.0%+4.11%57.1%Unranked
Total10-1-0−100.0%−4.09%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

31 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/InconsolableBrat: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Mon Dec 29, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBAORL @ TORORL −1.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of +100Loss−2.38%−1.00u
Sat Dec 27, 8:10 PM ETReconstructedNBANY @ ATLNY −4.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −127Loss+6.87%−1.00u
Thu Dec 25, 2:30 PM ETReconstructedNBASA @ OKCSA +9.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +105Win−6.84%+0.91u
Tue Dec 23, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR @ MIAMIA −4 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −127Loss+6.87%−1.00u
Sun Nov 23, 8:10 PM ETReconstructedNBALAL @ UTAHLAL −8.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −110Loss−0.02%−1.00u
Sat Nov 22, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNBAATL @ NOATL −7 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of −160Win+20.22%+0.95u
Fri Nov 21, 8:10 PM ETReconstructedNBAMIA @ CHIS. Fontecchio over 10.5 pts (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)−116 to a fair close of +101Loss−7.31%−1.00u
Thu Nov 20, 8:10 PM ETReconstructedNBAATL @ SAD. Fox over 36.5 PRA (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab)−119 to a fair close of +122Win−16.92%+0.84u
Wed Nov 19, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR @ PHITOR +2.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −160Win+12.85%+0.83u
Tue Nov 18, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNBAGS @ ORLD. Bane over 18.5 pts (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab)−122 to a fair close of −132Win+3.41%+0.82u
Sat Nov 15, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR @ INDTOR −5.5 (−107) (original post, opens in a new tab)−107 to a fair close of −112Win+2.20%+0.93u
Fri Nov 14, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNBAMIA @ NYM. Bridges over 16.5 pts (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)−118 to a fair close of −184Loss+19.68%−1.00u
Fri Nov 14, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNBAMIA @ NYNY −4.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of −143Win+14.87%+0.95u
Wed Nov 12, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedNBAATL @ SACATL −3.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −105Win−2.33%+0.91u
Tue Nov 11, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR @ BKNTOR −9.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −102Win−3.66%+0.91u
Mon Nov 10, 7:10 PM ETReconstructedNBALAL @ CHALAL −7 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −125Win+6.11%+0.91u
Sun Nov 9, 3:30 PM ETReconstructedNBAHOU @ MILHOU −3 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −125Win+5.92%+0.91u
Sat Nov 8, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNBALAL @ ATLD. Ayton over 16.5 P+A (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)−116 to a fair close of +105Loss−8.98%−1.00u
Fri Nov 7, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR @ ATLK. Porzingis over 6.5 reb (−123) (original post, opens in a new tab)−123 to a fair close of +108Win−12.79%+0.81u
Wed Nov 5, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAMIA @ DENJ. Murray over 30.5 PRA (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab)−113 to a fair close of −134Loss+7.79%−1.00u
Mon Nov 3, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAMIL @ INDM. Turner over 5.5 reb (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab)−122 to a fair close of −145Win+7.75%+0.82u
Sun Nov 2, 6:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAATL @ CLEK. Porzingis over 22.5 P+R (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)−112 to a fair close of −158Win+15.78%+0.89u
Fri Oct 31, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNBANY @ CHIM. Bridges over 23.5 PRA (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of +111Win−13.05%+0.83u
Fri Oct 31, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAATL @ INDK. Porzingis over 26.5 PRA (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −123Loss+5.18%−1.00u
Wed Oct 29, 8:10 PM ETReconstructedNBASAC @ CHIZ. LaVine over 21.5 pts (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab)−122 to a fair close of −130Win+2.84%+0.82u
Tue Oct 28, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNBANY @ MILM. Bridges over 22.5 PRA (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)−120 to a fair close of −103Win−7.10%+0.83u
Sun Oct 26, 6:10 PM ETReconstructedNBACHA @ WSHWSH −1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −103Loss−3.17%−1.00u
Sat Oct 25, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAPHX @ DENN. Jokic under 49.5 PRA (−103) (original post, opens in a new tab)−103Winn/a+0.97u
Fri Oct 24, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAMIN @ LALJ. Randle over 30.5 PRA (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of +109Win−8.45%+0.91u
Thu Oct 23, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedNBADEN @ GSDEN/GS Under 233.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)−110 to a fair close of −101Loss−4.09%−1.00u
Wed Oct 22, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR @ ATLK. Porzingis over 24.5 PRA (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)−125 to a fair close of −163Win+11.63%+0.80u

All 31 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.