Reddit · 7 graded picks

u/Jackal2123Unranked

First post Aug 7, 2026, latest Aug 14, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/jackal2123 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

+0.19u

7 priced picks

ROI

+2.7%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

4-3-0

Win rate 57.1%

CLV

−5.23%

95% interval −9.60% to −0.69%

Beat fair close

28.6%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +0.19u, peak +2.19u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	7	4-3-0	+2.7%	−5.23%	28.6%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Player props	7	4-3-0	+2.7%	−5.23%	28.6%	Unranked

Graded picks

7 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Jackal2123: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Aug 14, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	K. Rocker over 4.5 Ks (+103) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TEX @ ATH	+103 to a fair close of +133	Loss	−12.79%	−1.00u
Aug 12, 7:07 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	R. Suarez over 4.5 Ks (+106) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · BOS @ TOR	+106 to a fair close of +128	Loss	−9.51%	−1.00u
Aug 11, 7:46 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	C. Sanchez over 5.5 Ks (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PHI @ STL	−135 to a fair close of −135	Win	+0.11%	+0.74u
Aug 10, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	C. Scott over 5.5 Ks (+102) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYM @ ATL	+102 to a fair close of +103	Win	−0.36%	+1.02u
Aug 9, 12:16 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	B. Singer over 4.5 Ks (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CIN @ WSH	−109 to a fair close of +114	Loss	−10.54%	−1.00u
Aug 8, 6:46 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	C. Burns over 5.5 Ks (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CIN @ WSH	−125 to a fair close of −138	Win	+4.34%	+0.80u
Aug 7, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	P. Messick over 5.5 Ks (−159) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CLE @ CHW	−159 to a fair close of −130	Win	−7.86%	+0.63u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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