u/JarnzulUnranked

4 graded picks, first post Jul 29, 2026, latest Sep 25, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+1.58u

4 priced picks

ROI

+39.4%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

3-1-0

Win rate 75.0%

CLV

−1.37%

95% interval −3.17% to +0.33%

Beat the fair close

25.0%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +1.6u, peak +1.6u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
MLB43-1-0+39.4%−1.37%25.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline43-1-0+39.4%−1.37%25.0%Unranked

Graded picks

4 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/Jarnzul: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Fri Sep 25, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBPIT @ DETDET ML −106 (original post, opens in a new tab)−106 to a fair close of −108Win+0.90%+0.94u
Wed Sep 23, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIL @ PHIMIL ML −126 (original post, opens in a new tab)−126 to a fair close of −116Win−3.85%+0.79u
Mon Sep 7, 1:36 PM ETReconstructedMLBCLE @ BALCLE ML +125 (original post, opens in a new tab)+125 to a fair close of +128Loss−1.39%−1.00u
Sat Sep 5, 4:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBCHC @ MIACHC ML −119 (original post, opens in a new tab)−119 to a fair close of −116Win−1.15%+0.84u

All 4 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.