u/KennyCash51Losing to the close
564 graded picks, first post Oct 2, 2025, latest Sep 26, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+0.85u
564 priced picks
ROI
+0.1%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
290-273-1
Win rate 51.5%
CLV
−4.09%
95% interval −4.58% to −3.60%
Beat the fair close
18.8%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAB | 343 | 179-164-0 | +2.3% | −4.19% | 19.8% | Losing to the close |
| NCAAF | 221 | 111-109-1 | −3.1% | −3.94% | 17.2% | Losing to the close |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 461 | 241-219-1 | −0.1% | −4.20% | 16.9% | Losing to the close |
| Moneyline | 68 | 31-37-0 | +2.4% | −3.66% | 32.4% | Losing to the close |
| Total | 31 | 15-16-0 | −6.8% | −3.21% | 16.1% | Losing to the close |
| Team total | 4 | 3-1-0 | +43.0% | −6.42% | 25.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMOST @ SMU | MOST +33.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −133 | Win | +9.06% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:45 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIZ @ MSST | MSST −5.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of +129 | Win | −19.38% | +0.85u |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFORE @ USC | USC +3.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −7.93% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFSC @ ALA | SC +12.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −5.00% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMISS @ FLA | MISS/FLA 1H Under 29.5 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of −104 | Win | +0.74% | +0.98u |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFHAW @ WYO | HAW −2.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +106 | Loss | −9.42% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFND @ PUR | PUR +27.5 (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −104 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −1.92% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUCLA @ MD | MD ML +104 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +104 to a fair close of +130 | Loss | −11.19% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFILL @ OSU | ILL +27.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −121 | Win | −0.55% | +0.82u |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTEX @ TENN | TEX/TENN Over 54.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −5.36% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCOLO @ NU | COLO ML +145 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +145 to a fair close of +160 | Loss | −5.66% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFLSU @ MISS | MISS +3 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −3.72% | +0.89u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTROY @ MIZ | TROY/MIZ Over 50.5 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −4.63% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFFLA @ AUB | FLA −2.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −2.38% | +0.95u |
| Sat Sep 19, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFFIU @ FAU | FIU +6.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of −124 | Win | +6.45% | +0.93u |
| Sat Sep 19, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFSTAN @ DUKE | STAN +10.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −1.22% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFSMU @ LOU | LOU −1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −118 | Win | +3.52% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUNT @ TXST | UNT +3 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −5.91% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUNC @ CLEM | UNC +3.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −122 | Loss | +0.57% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 11:30 AM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCCU @ DEL | CCU +5.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −5.36% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFISU @ IOWA | IOWA −14 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −4.55% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTLSA @ SHSU | SHSU +12.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.36% | +0.89u |
| Sat Sep 12, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFBUF @ FIU | FIU −10 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +121 | Win | −14.16% | +0.89u |
| Sat Sep 12, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMEM @ BOIS | MEM ML +295 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +295 to a fair close of +327 | Loss | −7.42% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUSU @ WASH | WASH −27.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −2.41% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMD @ CONN | MD −11.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.36% | +0.89u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMSST @ MINN | MINN 1H +0.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −2.89% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFARIZ @ BYU | ARIZ +7.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −119 | Loss | +0.57% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFALA @ UK | UK +10 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −119 | Loss | +3.73% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFWSU @ KSU | WSU +17.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +106 | Loss | −6.47% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFASU @ TA&M | ASU +14.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −4.25% | −1.00u |
| Sat Feb 28, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABSEA @ LMU | SEA ML +104 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +104 to a fair close of +101 | Win | +1.52% | +1.04u |
| Sat Feb 28, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABARK @ FLA | ARK +10.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −5.02% | −1.00u |
| Sat Feb 28, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABSMU @ STAN | STAN +1.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −112 | Win | −0.09% | +0.89u |
| Sat Feb 28, 5:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABPROV @ CREI | CREI −2.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −116 | Loss | +1.58% | −1.00u |
| Sat Feb 28, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABWIS @ WASH | WASH ML +104 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +104 to a fair close of +137 | Loss | −13.85% | −1.00u |
| Sat Feb 28, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABLOU @ CLEM | CLEM ML +110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +133 | Win | −9.76% | +1.10u |
| Sat Feb 28, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABORE @ NU | ORE ML +172 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +172 to a fair close of +152 | Loss | +8.11% | −1.00u |
| Sat Feb 28, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABMASS @ BGSU | BGSU −5.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +131 | Win | −18.10% | +0.89u |
| Sat Feb 28, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABJOES @ URI | JOES ML +158 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +158 to a fair close of +122 | Win | +16.46% | +1.58u |
| Sat Feb 28, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABUVA @ DUKE | UVA +10.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −2.33% | −1.00u |
| Wed Feb 4, 11:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABIOWA @ WASH | WASH ML +120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +127 | Loss | −3.14% | −1.00u |
| Wed Feb 4, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABCREI @ GTWN | GTWN −1.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.36% | +0.89u |
| Wed Feb 4, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABTLSA @ FAU | FAU ML +125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +143 | Loss | −7.38% | −1.00u |
| Wed Feb 4, 6:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABHALL @ VILL | HALL +6.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −120 | Loss | +0.93% | −1.00u |
| Tue Feb 3, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABNCSU @ SMU | NCSU ML −110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −103 | Win | −3.20% | +0.91u |
| Tue Feb 3, 8:05 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABSJU @ DEP | DEP +9.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −1.58% | −1.00u |
| Mon Feb 2, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABKU @ TTU | KU ML +180 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +180 to a fair close of +219 | Win | −12.32% | +1.80u |
| Mon Feb 2, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABNOLA @ ETAM | NOLA −1.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −4.51% | +0.88u |
| Mon Feb 2, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAABHCU @ RGV | HCU +8.5 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +109 | Loss | −5.09% | −1.00u |
All 564 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.